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2026-01-15 12:03:48 pm | Source: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd Ltd
Neutral Senco Gold Ltd for the Target Rs. 365 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
Neutral Senco Gold Ltd for the Target Rs. 365 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd

Robust show; store expansion on track SENCO released its pre-quarterly update for 2QFY26. Here are the key takeaways:

Gold price trends

  • Gold prices rose ~23% QoQ and ~65% YoY (on average) in 3Q, leading to major demand from global central banks and investment-led demand for ETFs, but muted volume growth.
  • The gold price hit the highest level of INR140,000/10gm in 3QFY26, as against INR117,000 in 2QFY26 and INR79,800 in 3QFY25.

Financial and operational performance

  • In 3QFY26, SENCO achieved a robust growth of 51% YoY (est. 17%; 23.8% in 3QFY25). The retail business grew ~49% with SSSG of ~39%.
  • With 6.5% growth in 2Q (much slower than peers) and 28% in 1Q (given quarterly volatility), it implies ~31% growth in 9MFY26 with SSSG of ~21%.
  • The strong 9MFY26 performance was led by targeted festive campaigns, new design launches and intensive customer engagement during Dhanteras & Diwali, wedding buying and shift of 2Q demand to the festive season.
  • Diamond jewelry sales growth remained strong at ~36% YoY in 3Q and ~34% in 9MFY26.
  • TTM revenue has reached ~INR80b, reflecting consistent YoY growth, loyal customer base and strong brand positioning.

Store expansion and network growth

  • SENCO launched 4 new franchise showrooms, taking the total showroom network to 196 (including 8 Sennes and 2 international showrooms).
  • The newly opened franchise showrooms are located in Hazaribagh (JH), Etawah (UP), Burdwan (WB) and Bikaner (RJ).
  • During 9MFY26, SENCO launched 11 franchise-owned and 5 company-owned stores.

Outlook

  • Senco has successfully navigated the peak festive demand of 3Q and continues to optimize its inventory more toward a lightweight and budget-friendly product range due to rising gold prices.
  • It is prepared for the upcoming 4Q wedding season, Valentine's Day, International Women's Day, and other local festivals. It is targeting 18-20% growth in the studded category through curated collections.
  • SENCO is on track to achieve its FY26 target of opening 20 new showrooms, and plans to launch another 3 to 4 showrooms under the COCO and FOCO models to achieve the milestone of 200 showrooms. Moreover, it has a robust pipeline for 1HFY27.
  • The company is confident of achieving 25%+ revenue growth in FY26, higher than its earlier guidance of 18-20% growth.

 

 

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