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2025-09-03 10:49:03 am | Source: Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Neutral BSE India Ltd For Target Rs. 2,600 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
Neutral BSE India Ltd For Target Rs. 2,600 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd

Lower clearing house costs and opex drive a PAT beat

  • BSE reported a 1QFY26 operating revenue of ~INR9.6b (in line), up 59% YoY/13% QoQ, mainly driven by 84% YoY growth in transaction charges.
  • Operating expenses stood at INR3.3b, up 4% YoY, led by a 23%/24%/33% YoY growth in regulatory expenses/employee costs/ technology expenses, while clearing house expenses were down 37% YoY. EBITDA stood at INR6.3b, up 122% YoY/29% QoQ, leading to an EBITDA margin of 65.3% vs. our expectations of 59.7% and 46.9% in 1QFY25.
  • BSE’s PAT for the quarter surged 104% YoY/9% QoQ to INR5.4b (13% beat), driven by lower-than-expected clearing house expenses.
  • BSE has 350 racks currently (75–80% utilization) and plans to add ~140 more racks in two phases in FY26. Effective Jun’25, BSE introduced throttle pricing, reducing free orders per second from 10k to 40; incremental order pricing varies by subscribed speed and starts from INR50k annually.
  • We raise our earnings estimates by 7% each for FY26/FY27 to adjust for lower clearing house costs and income from colocation. With a likely market share loss from the shift in expiry from Sep’25 and uncertainty over future regulatory actions, we reiterate our NEUTRAL rating on the stock with a TP of INR2,600 (premised on 45x FY27E EPS).

Surge in transaction revenue fueled by the Sensex derivatives product

  • Transaction charges jumped 84% YoY to INR7.4b, due to 147%/28% growth in charges from derivatives/Star MF. These were offset by a 28% YoY dip in cash segment charges.
  • Cash ADTO declined 20% YoY to INR72b amid the challenging market environment, while premium ADTO continued to scale a new peak of INR151b in 1Q with a rise in activity during non-expiry days.
  • Total transactions processed on the Star MF platform were up 30% to 183m in 1QFY26, crossing ~61m transactions per month in FY25 vs. ~47m last year. July saw the highest ever monthly transactions at ~66.5m.
  • On the subsidiaries front, BSE Index Service Private Limited launched 7 new indices during the quarter, including four factor indices, and services 300+ marquee clients domestically and globally. It is also working actively with its subsidiaries on creating a platform for trading in the commodities and agriculture segments.
  • Options volumes mix: HFT/Retail/Proprietary and Others at 35%/25- 26%/35-40%
  • Revenue from services to corporates grew 11% YoY to INR1.1b, led by 17% YoY growth in listing fees, while the book building fees segment declined 6% YoY.
  • Other operating income at INR701m grew 57% YoY, largely driven by strong expansion in the colocation facility.
  • Investment income grew 28% YoY to INR791m.
  • No additional contribution was made to the core SGF during the quarter
  • Clearing and settlement expenses declined sequentially to INR550m from ~INR840m in Q4FY25, due to 1) a shift in volume to non-expiry days driving higher premiums, and 2) larger contract sizes.

Key takeaways from the management commentary

  • Common Contract Note has been successfully implemented in India with effect from 27th Jun’25, enabling institutional investors to trade seamlessly across trading venues.
  • The expiry shift to Thursday from Tuesday was decided after feedback from market participants, and no negative impact on premium realization is expected by the management.
  • BSE platforms continue to be the preferred choice for Indian companies to raise capital, facilitating INR7.6t through equity, debt, bonds, commercial papers, mutual funds, etc.

Valuation and view: Reiterate Neutral

  • We expect BSE to lose 300-400bp of premium turnover market share once the weekly expiry shifts to Thursday from Tuesday currently. Any further regulatory moves to curb retail activity in F&O can impact volumes for the exchange.
  • We raise our earnings estimates by 7% each for FY26/FY27 to adjust for lower clearing house costs and income from colocation. We reiterate our NEUTRAL rating on the stock with a TP of INR2,600 (premised on 45x FY27E EPS).

Key takeaways from the management commentary

Regulatory trends

  • Regulatory changes continue to follow a consultative, co-created process; no new consultations are ongoing currently.
  • SEBI’s derivatives regulations 2.0 (including gross/net open position limits) went live in Jul’25; management mentioned it is too early to assess the full impact, though no major disruption has been seen so far
  • The expiry shift to Thursday from Tuesday was decided after feedback from market participants, and no negative impact on premium realization is expected.

Business

  • Options volumes mix: HFT/Retail/Proprietary and Others at 35%/25-26%/35- 40%
  • Total transactions processed on the Star MF platform were up 30% to 183m in 1QFY26, crossing ~61m transactions per month in FY25 vs ~47m last year. July saw the highest ever monthly transactions at ~66.5m
  • BSE Index Service Private Limited has a product portfolio of ~170+ indices currently, servicing 300+ marquee clients domestically and globally. Launched 7 new indices during the quarter, including four factor indices, in addition to 20 launched last year
  • BSE is actively working with its subsidiaries on creating a platform for trading in the commodities and agriculture segments
  • Common Contract Note has been successfully implemented in India with effect from 27th Jun’25, enabling institutional investors to trade seamlessly across trading venues.
  • During the quarter, BSE reached the milestone of 600 SME listings to date, with 18 listings raising INR8.8b in Jul’25 alone (highest ever monthly)
  • Since the platform's launch, a total of INR106.5b has been raised, with the last 100 SMEs raising INR40.7b, contributing ~38% of the total amount raised.
  • In 1QFY26, BSE welcomed 21 new equity listings across the mainboard and SME, raising INR142b
  • BSE platforms continue to be the preferred choice for Indian companies to raise capital, facilitating INR7.6t through equity, debt, bonds, commercial papers, mutual funds, etc.
  • Under the IPF, BSE conducted ~1,026 awareness programmes during the quarter to promote financial literacy.
  • BSE recently collaborated with SEBI on a campaign to raise awareness against financial fraud and protect investor interests
  • Recently launched the ‘Nivesh Mitra’ mobile app, aimed at helping users learn how to open trading/demat accounts, assess their personal risk profile, and simulate investments using historical data.
  • Rebranded its wholly owned subsidiary ‘Asia Index Private Limited’ to ‘BSE Index Services Private Limited’

Financials

  • Revenue from operations grew strongly by 59% YoY, driven by strong performance in transaction-related income, other operating income, and investment-related income.
  • Transaction revenues were up 84% YoY, supported by strong volumes in the Sensex derivatives product.
  • Operating expenses increased by 5%. Approximately 48% of total operating expenses were attributable to regulatory fees and clearing and settlement expenses, which are directly linked to increasing derivatives volumes.
  • No additional contribution was made to the core SGF during the quarter
  • Clearing and settlement expenses declined sequentially to INR550m from ~INR840m in 4QFY25, due to 1) a shift in volume to non-expiry days driving higher premiums, and 2) larger contract sizes

Colocation

  • BSE has 350 racks currently allocated (75–80% utilization), with plans to add ~140 more racks in two phases during FY26 (one tranche in this month and the other by the end of FY26)
  • Rack pricing stands at INR1.2m/year for 6 KVA and INR2.5m/year for 15 KVA. Estimated revenue for 1QFY26 was ~INR120m
  • Effective Jun’25, BSE introduced throttle pricing for colocation; free orders per second have been reduced from 10,000 to 40. For incremental orders, pricing depends on the subscribed speed and starts from INR50,000 annually

 

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