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2025-08-05 02:08:31 pm | Source: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
Buy UTI AMC Ltd for the Target Rs.1,650 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
Buy UTI AMC Ltd for the Target Rs.1,650 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd

Higher other income drives PAT beat

* UTI AMC’s 1QFY26 operating revenue stood at INR3.8b (in line), up 13% YoY/6% QoQ. Yield on management fees stood at 42bp in 1QFY26 vs. 43.4bp in 1QFY25 and 42.4bp in 4QFY25.

* Total opex was up 16% YoY to INR2.1b. As bp of QAAUM, it remained flat YoY at 22.9bp in 1Q (vs. 24.3bp in 4QFY25). EBITDA was up 9% YoY/12% QoQ at INR1.7b (8% miss on account of higher employee costs). EBITDA margins stood at 45.4% vs. 47.1% in 1QFY25 and 42.6% in 4QFY25.

* PAT declined 8% YoY to INR2.5b (15% beat), driven by better-than-expected other income.

* Higher employee costs were offset by other income.

* FY26/FY27 earnings estimates remain broadly unchanged. We expect UTI to report a CAGR of 15%/12%/15% in AUM/revenue/core PAT over FY25-27E. The stock trades at FY27E P/E of 18x and core P/E of 28x. We reiterate our BUY rating with a one-year TP of INR1,650 (based on 32x core FY27E EPS)

 

Steady growth in AUM led by SIP flows

* Total MF QAAUM was up 16% YoY/6% QoQ at INR3.6t, driven by 7%/18%/36%/21% YoY growth in Equity/ETFs/Index/Debt funds.

* Equity QAAUM contributed 26% to the mix in 1QFY26 vs. 29% in 1QFY25. Debt/Liquid schemes contributed 7%/14% to the mix in 1QFY26 (7%/15% in 1QFY25).

* Overall net inflows for UTI stood at INR99.2b vs. INR141.7b in 1QFY25 and INR6.7b in 4QFY25. Equity/ETFs & Index/Income/Liquid funds garnered inflows of INR5b/INR35b/INR36b/INR23b.

* Gross inflows mobilized through SIPs stood at INR22.6b in 1Q. SIP AUM stood at INR421.9b, up 17% YoY. Total live folios stood at 13.5m (as of Jun’25).

* The overall MF AAUM market share declined to 5% from 5.27% in Jun’24. UTI AMC’s market share in Passive/NPS AUM stood at 13.18%/24.67%.

* The market share in Equity/Hybrid/Index & ETFs/Cash & Arbitrage/Debt Funds stood at 3.01%/4.2%/13.18%/4.24%/3.27% in Jun’25 vs. 3.45%/4.17%/13.31%/4.75%/3.22% in Jun’24.

* The distribution mix in QAAUM remained largely stable in 1Q, with direct channel dominating the mix with 71% share, followed by MFDs at 21% and BND at 8%. However, with respect to equity AUM, MFDs contributed 54% to the distribution mix.

* Total expenses grew 16% YoY (flat QoQ) to INR2.1b (7% above est.), with employee costs up 14% YoY at INR1.3b (10% above est.) and other expenses up 21% YoY at INR770m (in line with est.). As a result, CIR stood at 54.6% vs. 52.9% in 1QFY25 and 57.4% in 4QFY25.

* Other income declined 14% YoY to INR1.7b.

* The number of digital transactions grew 30% to 4.9m in 1Q, showing a strong focus on growing SIP book digitally. Capitalizing on cross-selling and upselling opportunities has supported growth in online gross sales at 89.9%.

* Total investments as of Jun’25 stood at INR43.3b, with 70%/15%/8%/7% being segregated into MFs/Offshore/Venture Funds/G-Sec/Bonds.

 

Growth across non-MF segments

* Total group AUM stood at INR21.9t, up 13% YoY, of which MF AUM stood at INR3.6t, up 16%. Non-MF AUM, comprising PMS/UTI RSL, grew 11%/20% YoY to INR14.2t/NR3.8t, while UTI Capital/UTI International declined 4%/7% YoY to INR28b/INR274b.

* Yields on MF/PMS/RSL/International businesses largely remained stable YoY, while yields on capital business improved to 0.75% from 0.57% in 1QFY25.

* In the UTI International segment, the UTI India Innovation Fund, domiciled in Ireland, has AUM of USD59.232m as of Jun’25.

* UTI Pension Fund has crossed the milestone of INR3.8t in AUM and manages 24.67% of the NPS industry AUM as of Jun’25.

* In the Alternatives business, UTI AMC has gross commitments of USD200m in the IFSC GIFT City as of Jun’25.

 

Valuation and view:

* UTI AMC continues to deliver a steady and broad-based performance across its mutual fund, pension, and international businesses. The core AMC operations have seen consistent growth in AUM, supported by a diversified product mix with a strong tilt toward equity, healthy SIP inflows, and robust retail traction.

* Despite macro challenges, the company has maintained its operational momentum through strong digital adoption, wide distribution reach—especially in B30 markets—and a growing presence in passive and alternate assets. Improving fund performance and scaling up the non-MF business will improve profitability over the medium term.

* Higher employee costs were offset by other income, leading to FY26/FY27 earnings estimates broadly remaining unchanged. We expect UTI to report a CAGR of 15%/12%/15% in AUM/revenue/core PAT over FY25-27E. The stock trades at FY27E P/E of 18x and core P/E of 28x. We reiterate our BUY rating with a one-year TP of INR1,650 (based on 32x core FY27E EPS).

 

 

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