19-09-2023 01:14 PM | Source: ARETE Securities Ltd
Buy Sula Vineyards Limited For Target Rs.589 - Arete Securities

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Investment Rationale:

Favorable demographics, growing income levels and rapid urbanization:

In the context of India's vast consumer economy driven by a population of approximately 1.38 billion people, promising growth prospects are evident. Notably, the dynamic millennial segment, comprising 32% of the population and displaying significant alcohol consumption trends, presents opportunities. Despite the pandemic's global impact on the alcohol industry, which is intricately linked with service-oriented sectors like dining, hospitality, and transportation, the sector has impressively rebounded, forging a new path for advancement. Furthermore, India's burgeoning service sector, a major driver of economic growth, often features wine in its offerings due to its professional appeal. This alignment with consumer preferences contributes positively to wine consumption. In conclusion, India's favorable demographics, economic trends, and the resilience of the alcohol industry have opened avenues for growth, especially in wine consumption, with the service sector playing a pivotal role in this dynamic landscape. Sula Vineyards, strategically positioned, stands to benefit from these developments. 

Shift in the section of the society and higher purchasing power:

India is a large and rapidly growing consumer economy, with a population of approximately 1.38 billion people. In recent years, there has been a notable shift in the social structure of the population, as more people move into the middle and uppermiddle class segments of society. This shift has resulted in higher purchasing power among consumers, which has led to an improved standard of living. As a result of this improvement in living standards, larger consumer base have started affording to spend on premium and luxury products and alcohol consumption (including wine) has become increasingly normalized, with more people incorporating it into their social lives, celebrations, relaxation, and meal experiences. 

Addictive nature of the Alcohol:

Alcohol consumption has the potential to induce pleasurable sensations by triggering the release of endorphins in the brain, which are natural opioids that activate the brain's reward centers. These regions are associated with positive emotions and motivation, contributing to the enjoyable aspects of drinking. However, it's crucial to recognize that excessive alcohol consumption can lead to addiction and various health and societal issues. In contrast, wine, despite being an alcoholic beverage, offers unique health benefits when consumed in moderation, such aspromoting heart health and reducing the risk of heart-related ailments. This favorable aspect encourages wine consumption and demand. In today's environment, which promotes a healthy lifestyle, wine has emerged as a preferred choice for alcohol consumption, especially among the youth. Sula Vineyards, recognizing this, has an opportunity to harness the pleasurable effects of its wine products, combined with their health benefits. Simultaneously, it can play a pivotal role in promoting responsible drinking practices, ensuring that its customers can enjoy its offerings safely and responsibly.

Under-penetrated market:

India's wine industry, currently contributing less than 1% to overall alcohol consumption, offers substantial growth potential compared to the global average of nearly 13%, particularly in developed countries like Europe where wine consumption can reach close to 30%. The industry's underpenetration in India stems from cultural factors, limited awareness, distribution complexities, price sensitivity, and relatively modest domestic production. To unlock this growth potential, strategies include promoting wine education, advocating for tax reductions, supporting local production, and fostering wine tourism. Key opportunities lie in Tier-1 cities, which contribute around 70% of wine sales and have higher alcohol beverage consumption penetration. Additionally, Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities show growing demand for wine, making it more accessible to common Indian households. India's expanding consumer base, adding around 10-12 million people yearly, along with a projected working population of approximately 1 billion by 2030, paints a promising long-term outlook. Market leaders like Sula, with their pioneering wine tourism, are well-positioned to benefit from this evolving market


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