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2025-11-14 05:47:06 pm | Source: ARETE Securities Ltd
Hold Ashok Leyland Ltd for the Target Rs. 159 by ARETE Securities Ltd
Hold Ashok Leyland Ltd for the Target Rs. 159 by ARETE Securities Ltd

Ashok Leyland (AL) reported a strong performance in Q2 FY26, reflecting its strategic focus on sustainable and profitable growth in the commercial vehicle sector. Revenue grew by +9.3% YoY to INR 9,588 crores, driven by higher volumes in both MHCV and LCV segments. EBITDA reached a record INR 1,162 crores, +14.2% YoY, with margins expanding by +52 bps to 12.1%, supported by effective cost-saving measures, stable material costs (71.2% of revenue), and improved realizations (+2% YoY). PBT also reached a record INR 1,043 crores, +23% YoY, driven by growth in higher-margin non-CV segments. PAT remained stable at INR 771 crores, flat YoY after adjusting for a negative variance of INR 157 crores from litigation provisions, which offset prior investment gains. Capex was moderated to INR 417 crores in Q2 (H1: INR 658 crores), reflecting disciplined expansion.

 

Updates of Subsidiaries and Segments

• Switch India delivered strong H1 performance with nearly 600 buses and 600 ELCVs sold, achieving both EBITDA and PAT positivity; its bus order book stood at 1,650 units at H1 end, while progressing toward free cash flow positivity by FY27.

• OHM scaled its E-MaaS operations to over 1,100 electric buses with 98%+ fleet availability, adding more than 250 units in Q2; it targets 2,500+ buses within the next 12 months, with all GCC projects at double-digit IRRs and active pursuit of the 10,000+ PM E-DRIVE tender.

• HLF and Hinduja Housing Finance expanded AUM by 26% YoY to 52,635 crore and 20% YoY to 14,903 crore respectively, posting Q2 consolidated PAT of ?196 crore and NNPA of 1.59%; HLF has secured final RBI clearance for its NXTDIGITAL merger, advancing toward listing as planned.

• Non-CV businesses advanced per strategy, with Aftermarket revenues up 11% YoY, Power Solutions up 14% YoY, and Defence up 25% YoY amid a robust order book and tender pipeline.

• Exports surged 45% YoY to 4,784 units in Q2 and 38% YoY in H1 across GCC, Africa, and SAARC, targeting 18,000 units for FY26 and 25,000 in the midterm through localized products and network expansion.

 

CV Segments: H2 Tailwinds from GST, Replacements, and Infra Push Ashok Leyland held 31% domestic MHCV share in H1 FY26 (+50 bps YoY, ex-defence/EVs) with Q2 volumes of 21,647 trucks/4,660 buses amid 4% industry growth, while LCV VAHAN share rose to 13.2% (+90 bps YoY) on 17,697 units (+6.4% YoY) and 13% 2-4 tonne surge; elevated fleet age (9.5-10.5 years) and BS-III/IV base, plus GST 2.0's 10% TCO cut favouring retail/small fleets, ignite replacement/last-mile demand. October's 7%/15% YoY MHCV/LCV upticks signal H2 outperformance (15%+ LCV pace), supported by infra-activities and increased CapEx, with LCV capacity expandable from 80,000 to 110-120,000 units via efficiencies.

 

Product Pipeline: Premiumization to Drive Margin Expansion AL is advancing its pipeline with a focus on premiumization and expansion of its non-diesel portfolio. They've launched commercial light e-trucks, three MHCV e-truck variants, and multiple e-bus models, alongside exploring CNG, LNG, and hydrogen. In the diesel segment, proprietary 6-cylinder engines have been introduced. Key upcoming launches include 320/360 HP trucks, 13.5m H6 buses, and 15m high-sleeper buses to meet rising demand. The SAATHI platform continues to capture 22-25% of 2-4T sales, targeting sub-2T upgrades, with a biofuel variant planned for release in 1-2 quarters. E-mobility advancements include 9m standard and low-floor buses, e-LCV trucks in FY27, and a shift in E1 production to RAK for cost efficiency. The BS-VI transition is driving demand for higher safety and comfort features, supporting strong volume and margin growth.

 

 

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