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2025-11-06 09:50:11 am | Source: Prabhudas Lilladher Capital Ltd
Buy Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd for the Target Rs. 930 By Prabhudas Liladhar Capital Ltd
Buy Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd for the Target Rs. 930 By Prabhudas Liladhar Capital Ltd

Strong quarter due to favorable asset mix

Quick Pointers:

* Healthy quarter with a beat in core income due to higher yields

* Market share in net equity flows intact due to consistent fund performance.

NAM saw a strong quarter as core income was 4.8% ahead since revenue was 3.9% higher to PLe. Despite strong QAAuM growth of 7.1% QoQ, blended yields were more by 1.5bps on account of (1) increase in equity share by 69bps QoQ to 45.9% (2) commission rationalization covering almost 60% of equity AUM as of Sep’25 (3) fall in liquid/ETF share by 108/48bps QoQ and (4) increase in ETF yields due to rise in share of gold/silver ETF by 290bps QoQ to 19%. NAM continues to gain equity market share that enhanced by 5bps QoQ and 18bps YoY to 7.2% as of Sept’25 due to healthy net flow market share (~10% in H1FY26) led by consistent fund performance in 3/5-yr buckets. Over FY25-28E we expect core PAT CAGR of 14.6%. We tweak multiple on Sep’27 core EPS to 35x from 34x and raise TP to Rs930 from Rs900. Retain ‘BUY’.

* Strong quarter due to beat on revenue yields: QAAuM at Rs6,565bn (+7.1% QoQ); was in-line while equity (incl. bal) at Rs3,014bn grew by 8.8% QoQ. Revenue grew by 8.5% QoQ and was higher at Rs6.58bn (PLe Rs 6.34bn) led by better revenue yield at 40.1bps (PLe 38.6bps). Opex grew by 4.6% QoQ and was a bit more at 2.4bn (PLe Rs2.3bn); staff cost ex-ESOP as expected was Rs1.14bn while other opex was higher at Rs855mn (PLe Rs788mn). ESOP cost was lower at Rs90mn. Hence, core income (+10.9% QoQ) was a beat at 4.2bn (PLe Rs4bn) resulting in operating yields of 25.5bps (PLe 24.4bps). Other income was-in-line at Rs366mn (PLe Rs400mn). Tax rate was stable at 24.4% (PLe 24.5%). Hence, core PAT yields came in at 19.3bps (PLe 18.4bps). PAT came in at Rs3.4bn (PLe Rs3.3bn) due to higher revenue.

* Equity performance and flows remain healthy: Equity share increased QoQ to 45.9% (45.2% in Q1FY26) while debt inched up by 90bps to 14.4% and share of liquid/ETF fell by 108/48bps. Despite strong equity growth QoQ, blended yields were higher to PLe by 1.5bps on account of (1) increase in equity share by 69bps QoQ (2) commission rationalization covering almost 60% of equity AUM as of Sept’25 (3) decline in liquid/ETF share (4) better ETF yields since share of gold+silver increased by 290bps QoQ to 19%. Performance in 3/5yr buckets remains superior and net equity flow market share remained strong in H1FY26 at ~10%. As net flow market share remains higher than stock, NAM continues to gain equity market share; it enhanced by 5bps to 7.21% as of Sept’25 from 7.16% as of Jun’25.

* ESOP cost was a tad lower; no major change in opex estimates: ESOP cost was lower for the quarter and company revised its ESOP cost guidance for FY26E a bit lower to Rs400-430mn for FY26 and Rs260mn for FY27. We have factored the same in our estimates. Adjusting for ESOP, we expect staff cost CAGR of 12% over FY25-28. Other opex increased by 11% QoQ driven by i) branding exercise ii) investments in technology and iii) maintenance charges of new office. We estimate opex CAGR of 11% over FY25-28E.

 

 

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