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2025-08-16 02:19:24 pm | Source: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
Buy Go Fashion (India) Ltd for the Target Rs.988 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
Buy  Go Fashion (India) Ltd for the Target Rs.988 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd

Muted start to FY26; structural growth intact, valuations attractive

* Go Fashion (India) Ltd (GOCOLORS) reported a muted start to FY26, with revenue growing modestly at 1% YoY, impacted by a 2% SSSG decline driven by weak footfalls, supply chain disruptions due to Bangladesh import restrictions, and a 13% YoY revenue drop in the LFS channel amid partner-related challenges.

* Employee costs increased ~300bp YoY, reflecting a higher headcount from new store additions and annual salary increments.

* Overall, subdued topline growth and negative operating leverage led to a 17% YoY decline in pre-Ind AS EBITDA to INR 350m, with margins contracting ~355bp to 15.7%.

* We cut our revenue/EBITDA estimates for FY25-28 by 3-4% to reflect nearterm softness, but build in a 14%/14%/16% CAGR in revenue/EBITDA/PAT over FY25-28.

* At 40x one-year forward EPS, the stock trades below its historical average. We reiterate our BUY rating with a TP of INR 988, based on 40x Sep’27E EPS.

Revenue growth picks up on a low base; higher opex hurts profitability

* Revenue grew by a modest 1% YoY to INR2.3b (9% miss).

* EBO revenue grew 3% YoY, largely led by new store additions (added 27 QoQ), as SSSG remained weak at (-)2%.

* LFS revenue declined 13% YoY, impacted by ongoing consolidation at a major LFS partner (Reliance), despite ~220 new LFS additions during the period.

* Online revenue grew 8% YoY. MBO revenue doubled YoY.

* ASP grew 4% YoY, owing to a better product mix.

* Gross margins expanded ~120bp YoY to 63% (in-line), driven by favorable RM costs. Gross profit rose 3% YoY to INR 1.4b.

* Employee costs increased 19% YoY (5% above), while other expenses were up by a modest ~3% YoY (11% below).

* EBITDA declined 5% YoY to INR687m (16% miss), driven by a negative operating leverage.

* EBITDA margin contracted ~195bp YoY to 30.8% (~240bp miss).

* Pre-IND AS EBITDA declined 17% YoY to INR350m.

* Pre-IND AS EBITDA margin contracted ~355bp YoY to 15.7%.

* Depreciation/Finance costs grew 9%/8% YoY, while others declined ~10% YoY.

* As a result, reported PAT declined ~22% YoY to INR223m

Highlights from the management commentary

* Demand trends: 1QFY26 saw a 2% SSSG decline, with volumes down ~5% due to weak footfalls, LFS disruptions, and delayed Bangladesh-sourced SKUs. Sales were soft in April-May (Eid timing, regional issues), but recovered in June via EOSS. Management targets mid-single-digit SSSG, supported by sharper pricing (INR 1,000-1,200) and 6-7 new bottom-wear launches.

* Channel challenges: LFS revenue declined 13% YoY despite 12-13% outlet growth, impacted by partner-level issues and promotional timing. Restructuring is now largely complete with near-full partner coverage. MBO remains a selective, brand-building channel.

* Expansion strategy: 27 EBOs were added in 1Q (total 803), with FY26 expansion focused on 120+ net adds, 60-70% in Tier 2/3 cities.

* Pilots for women’s top-wear and menswear were launched in 10-15 stores by utilizing surplus space to test new categories. The company entered global markets with its first Dubai store, which received a positive initial response.

* Promoter pledge was reduced by ~200bp in July to ~9% of equity.

Valuation and view

*GOCOLORS is well-positioned to leverage its leadership in the women’s bottomwear segment and D2C model, with significant expansion potential beyond its current presence in ~180 cities.

* While near-term SSSG headwinds persist, management’s confident target of adding 120+ stores—60–70% of which will be in newer geographies—is a key positive for future growth.

* Gross margins are expected to remain resilient, aided by favorable input costs, helping partially offset the impact of negative operating leverage from subdued SSSG.

* We cut our revenue/EBITDA estimates for FY25-28E by 3-4% to reflect nearterm softness, but build in a 14%/14%/15% CAGR in revenue/EBITDA/PAT over FY25-28.

* At 40x one-year forward EPS, the stock trades below its historical average. We reiterate our BUY rating with a TP of INR 988, based on 40x Sep’27E EPS.

 

 

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