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2025-11-06 04:32:32 pm | Source: Prabhudas Lilladher Capital Ltd
Buy Chalet Hotels Ltd for the Target Rs. 1,183 By Prabhudas Liladhar Capital Ltd
Buy Chalet Hotels Ltd for the Target Rs. 1,183 By Prabhudas Liladhar Capital Ltd

Evolving into a brand play

Quick Pointers:

* Launched own brand ATHIVA. Over time, 6 hotels with 900 keys will be launched under the new brand.

* Declared maiden interim dividend of Rs1 per share.

In 2QFY26, CHALET IN recognized residential revenues of Rs2,821mn with EBITDA margin of 38.0% and consequently reported results are not comparable on YoY basis or with our estimates. Excluding the residential business, CHALET IN’s operating performance was broadly in-line with our estimates with EBITDA margin of 41.0% (PLe 40.8%) aided by 4.6% growth in RevPAR and strong traction in leasing income. With launch of own brand ATHIVA, CHALET IN has transitioned into being a brand owner thereby reducing dependency on third party operators. The move will not only help save on loyalty fees but also opens a new business opportunity to expand via management contract route. The inventory expansion goal is pretty much on track with plans to add 30/390 rooms at Khandala/Delhi in the near term. Even annuity business has started gaining traction (77% occupancy in 2QFY26) with an expected monthly exit rental run-rate of Rs300mn by Mar-26E providing necessary cushion to cash flows. We broadly retain our estimates and expect sales/EBITDA CAGR of 17%/21% over FY25-FY28E. Retain BUY” with a TP of Rs1,183 as we value the hotel business at 24x Sep-27E EBITDA (no change in target multiple), annuity portfolio at a cap rate of 8.5% and the residential project at NAV of Rs17 per share.

RevPAR grew 4.6% YoY: Topline increased by 95.0% YoY to Rs7,353mn. However, excluding residential business, revenue increased 22.2% YoY to Rs4,609mn (PLe Rs4,587mn). Hospitality revenue was up 13.4% YoY to Rs3,802mn (PLe Rs3,857mn) while annuity revenue was up 76.2% YoY to Rs738mn (PLe Rs730mn). ARR increased 15.6% YoY to Rs12,170. RevPAR grew 4.6% YoY to Rs8,115 while occupancy stood at 67.0%.

EBITDA margin (adjusted for residential business) stood at 41.0%: EBITDA increased by 100.1% YoY to Rs2,992mn aided by contribution from the residential business. However, core business EBITDA (adjusted for residential business) increased 26.4% YoY to Rs1,889mn (PLe Rs1,872mn) with a margin of 41.0% (PLe 40.8%). Hospitality/annuity EBITDA stood at Rs1,521mn/Rs607mn with a margin of 40.0%/82.3% respectively.

PBT of core business increases 19.2% YoY: PBT (excluding residential business) increased 19.2% YoY to Rs947mn (PLe Rs973mn) with a margin of 20.5% (PLe 21.2%). As residential income was recorded this quarter and is taxable, PAT comparison is not a like-for-like indicator.

Con-call highlights: 1) ATHIVA’s positioning will be at a premium/upper-upscale end. In terms of hierarchy, positioning is expected to be similar to Marriott, Taj, Hyatt Regency and Hilton. 2) Occupancy declined 700bps YoY to 67% in 2QFY26 impacted by heavy monsoons, seasonal softness at West-In Himalayas, and rampup of new inventory at Bengaluru. 3) Commercial portfolio occupancy stood at 77% in 2QFY26 and is expected to increase to 79% as new LOI’s have been signed during the quarter. 4) For the commercial annuity segment, exit rental run-rate was Rs245mn/month in Sep-25, with plans to reach ~Rs300mn/month by Mar-26. 5) 55 apartments at Vivarea, Koramangala (Bangalore) were handed over during 2QFY26. 6) As of Sep'25, 314 units have been sold from a total inventory of 321 units at Vivarea, Koramangala 7) Promoters had provided a cushion of Rs2bn towards Koramangala in the early stages and it has been fully repaid. 8) Capex of ~Rs25bn has been planned for next 3 years 9) Taj, DIAL is on track to open in 1HFY27E and Cignus II Tower, Powai by 4QFY27E. Construction at Athiva, Varca, South Goa is expected to begin in 4QFY26E.

 

 

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