Top Conviction Ideas : Buy Gravita India Ltd For Target Rs. 2,600 by Axis Securities Ltd

* Volume Growth in Lead and Aluminium: The company delivered a strong operational performance, with overall volumes rising 12% YoY and revenue increasing by 15% YoY. This was primarily led by a substantial 96% YoY jump in aluminium volumes and a 10% YoY increase in lead volumes. Value-added products contributed 47% of the revenue mix for the quarter. EBITDA (including hedging gains) stood at Rs 112 Cr, supported by a higher contribution from value-added products (~47% of total revenue).
* Capacity Ramp-up is on Track: The current operational capacity of 3.4 Lc MTPA is set to increase by 1 Lc MTPA by year-end, with a roadmap to reach 7 Lc MTPA by FY28. The lithium-ion battery recycling pilot facility in Mundra is progressing well and is likely to become operational in Q2FY26. Similarly, the new rubber recycling plant in Mundra is on schedule and is expected to contribute from the end of FY26. The recently acquired rubber recycling unit in Romania is currently delivering an EBITDA of Rs 7–8 per kg, with expectations of improved performance in H2.
* Growth to Accelerate from H2FY26: In line with its long-term growth roadmap, the company is targeting a 25% CAGR in volumes and a 35% CAGR in profitability, while maintaining ROIC above 25%. Management has guided similar volume growth for FY26, the majority (~15–16%) of which would be coming from existing capacities and the remaining (8–10%) expected from upcoming capacity additions. The contribution from new capacities is expected to pick up from Q3 onwards as new capacities start being commercialised.
* Valuation & Recommendation: We continue to value the stock at 32x FY27E EPS, with a target price of Rs 2,600/share. Accordingly, we recommend a BUY rating on the stock.
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