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2025-02-22 02:29:31 pm | Source: Choice Broking Ltd
Buy Maruti Suzuki India Ltd For the Target Rs.13,958 by Choice Broking Ltd
Buy Maruti Suzuki India Ltd For the Target Rs.13,958 by Choice Broking Ltd

MSIL reported a strong set of numbers driven by a robust volume growth

* Revenue grew 15.6% YoY and 3.5% QoQ to INR 3,84,921 Mn (vs CEBPL est. at INR 3,88,099 Mn) led by 13.0% YoY growth in volume and 2.2% YoY growth in ASP. Volume growth for the quarter was driven by 20.2% YoY growth in the Utility vehicle segment and 38.2% YoY growth in exports.

* EBITDA saw a growth of 14.4% YoY and 1.2% QoQ to INR 44,703 Mn (vs CEBPL est. at INR 44,631 Mn). EBITDA margin de-grew 12bps YoY and 26bps QoQ to 11.6% (vs CEBPL est. at 11.5%).

* APAT grew by 12.6% YoY and 14.9% QoQ to INR 35,250 Mn (vs CEBPL est. at INR 36,217 Mn).

Strong product portfolio with a complete powertrain mix positions MSIL to gain market share in the PV segment: With its first electric SUV, the e-Vitara, launched earlier this month; MSIL now has product offerings across all segments including ICE, CNG, Hybrid and Electric. There is a strong consumer demand for CNG vehicles, with 1 in every 3 cars sold by the company in the domestic market being a CNG vehicle in Q3FY25. MSIL is preparing about 1,500 EV-enabled service workshops across 1,000 cities, with trained manpower and special equipment, along with roadside assistance. We believe that MSIL, having a strong distribution network (3,925 sales outlets, 5000 service touch-points) can now cater to all consumer segments and will increase its market share in the passenger vehicle segment.

Promising outlook for export: Exports for the quarter were at 99,220 vehicles, the highest ever in any quarter, with a growth of about 38% on a YoY basis. MSIL commanded nearly 49% share of India's total passenger vehicle exports in Q3FY25 compared to 42% share in Q3FY24. MSIL also plans to export its first electric SUV, the e-Vitara to around 100 countries. We believe that MSIL has been successful in its efforts to increase exports and expect export segment to grow 20%/15% for FY25/FY26.

View and Valuation: We revise our FY26/27 EPS estimates upward by 8.7%/7.5% and upgrade to a ‘BUY' rating with a revised target price of INR 13,958, valuing the company at 24x(unchanged) on FY27E EPS. We remain positive on long term growth story led by a large distribution network; largest low emission product portfolio with new launch in the EV segment and growing export volumes.

 

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