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2025-11-01 09:15:05 am | Source: Choice Institutional Equities
Reduce TVS Motor Company Ltd for the Target Rs. 3,400 by Choice Institutional Equities
Reduce TVS Motor Company Ltd for the Target Rs. 3,400 by Choice Institutional Equities

Consistently Outperformed the Industry: In Q2FY26, TVSL registered total volume growth of 23% YoY against the industry's 11% YoY, driven by robust demand across segments. Domestic 2W ICE sales surged 21% YoY as compared to the industry's 8% YoY, while international 2W ICE volumes grew 31% YoY versus the industry's 26% YoY, achieving the highest-ever quarterly export of over 4,00,000 units. Despite magnet supply constraint, EV 2W volumes rose 7% YoY to 80,000 units, supported by iQube crossing 7,00,000 domestic units. 3W sales posted a strong 41% YoY growth, with EV 3W market share exceeding 11%. This diversified outperformance across domestic, international; ICE and EV segments underscores the company’s superior execution and competitive strength

View and Valuation:

We revise our FY26E/FY27E EPS estimate downwards by 0.4%/0.7% and maintain our target price of INR 3,400. We continue to value the company at an unchanged PE multiple on the average FY27/28E EPS and assign a value of INR 101 to TVS Credit. We remain positive on the long-term growth prospects of TVSL; however, considering the current valuations, we maintain our “REDUCE” rating on the stock..

TVSL: Top line beats estimate, bottom line missed

* Revenue was up 29.0% YoY and up 18.1% QoQ to INR 1,19,054 Mn (vs CIE est. at INR 1,16,568 Mn) led by 22.7% YoY growth in volume and 5.1% YoY growth in ASP.

* EBITDA was up 39.7% YoY and up 19.4% QoQ to INR 15,086 Mn (vs CIE est. at INR 14,571 Mn). EBITDA margin was up 97bps YoY and up 14bps QoQ to 12.7% (vs CIE est. at 12.5%).

* PAT was up 36.7% YoY and up 16.4% QoQ to INR 9,061 Mn (vs CIE est. at INR 9,316 Mn).

Strategic Portfolio Expansion to Accelerate Sales Growth: TVSL launched four innovative products in Q2FY26, bolstering its EV and premium portfolio. The products are: 1) TVS Orbiter EV, 2) TVS King Kargo HD EV powers, 3) TVS NTORQ 150 India’s quickest hyper-sport scooter and the adventure focused 4) TVS Apache RTX, marking a bold entry into high performance and rally-tourer segments. We believe all launches have evoked exceptional market response for superior tech, quality and features poised to outpace industry growth, enrich mix and drive double-digit volume upside in H2FY26E.

 

 

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