IGI Logo

The International Grains Council (IGC) announces a forecast increase in 2023/24 global corn production to a record-breaking 1.234 billion metric tons, offset by rising industrial and feed demand. Despite pressure on Chicago corn prices, enhanced competitiveness fosters upgraded consumption projections, while ending stocks experience a marginal reduction. Meanwhile, the world wheat crop maintains stability at 788 million tons, reflecting the dynamic landscape of global grain markets.

Highlights

Record High Corn Production: The International Grains Council (IGC) raised its forecast for global corn production in the 2023/24 season to a new record high of 1.234 billion metric tons.

Increased Demand Offsets Production Surge: Despite the record production, the outlook for both industrial and feed demand improved, offsetting the impact of the surplus.

US Corn Crop Revised Upwards: The IGC revised its forecast for the US corn crop to 389.7 million tons, in line with the US Department of Agriculture's estimate, reflecting an upward revision from the previous month.

Pressure on Chicago Corn Prices: Record global crop levels have exerted pressure on Chicago corn prices, which have remained stagnant around three-year lows.

Upgraded Consumption Forecasts: With low prices making corn more competitive, the IGC raised its forecasts for corn industrial use and feeding. Global corn consumption for 2023/24 was upwardly revised to 1.222 billion tons.

Marginal Reduction in Ending Stocks: Despite the increased consumption, ending stocks of corn for the 2023/24 season were marginally reduced to 286 million tons, though still substantially higher than the previous year's estimate of 275 million tons.

Stable Outlook for Wheat Production: The IGC maintained its forecast for the 2023/24 world wheat crop at 788 million tons, slightly lower than the previous season's production of 803 million tons.

Conclusion

The latest report from the International Grains Council underscores the resilience of the global corn market, as production reaches unprecedented levels amidst escalating demand. While surplus supply exerts downward pressure on prices, increased competitiveness fuels consumption growth, offering a glimmer of optimism for producers. However, challenges persist, with ending stocks remaining elevated despite a marginal reduction. As the world wheat crop holds steady, it signals a balanced outlook amid evolving market dynamics, highlighting the need for continued vigilance and adaptation within the global grain industry.

Above views are of the author and not of the website kindly read disclaimer