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2025-11-08 01:59:49 pm | Source: Prabhudas Lilladher Capital Ltd
Buy Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Ltd for the Target Rs. 375 By Prabhudas Liladhar Capital Ltd
Buy Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Ltd for the Target Rs. 375 By Prabhudas Liladhar Capital Ltd

Near term optimism will be led by solar products

Quick Pointers:

* ECD down 1.5% YoY due by weak performance in fans & LDA due to monsoon

* Solar portfolio is expected to become Crompton’s second-largest segment

CROMPTON’s ECD segment declined by 1.5% due to prolonged monsoons and fans saw single digit de growth; while margin contracted 430bps due to commodity prices and operating leverage. SDA posted double-digit growth, LDA saw de-growth, and large kitchen appliances delivered a strong 34% QoQ growth. Lighting grew 3.1% YoY, driven by high-teen volume growth, with both B2B and B2C delivering strong performance. Company has implemented price hike of ~1.4% in Fans segment in Nov’25. CROMPTON is gaining strong traction in its solar portfolio with strong orders, securing nearly Rs5bn of rooftop orders within a month and rapidly scaling both Solar pumps and Solar rooftop segments. Butterfly grew 13.3%, with core categories delivering double-digit growth supported by sustained volumes and new product launches. Inventory levels remain reasonable, with initiatives under Utkarsh 1 & 2. We estimate revenue/EBITDA/PAT CAGR of 12.3%/13.0%/15.8% over FY25-28E. We downward revise FY27/FY28 earnings by 4.8%/3.8%. We maintain ‘BUY’ rating with revised TP of Rs375 (Rs391 earlier), based on 30x Sep’27 earnings.

Revenue up 1.0% YoY, PAT down 43.0% YoY: Revenue grew by 1.0% to Rs19.1bn (PLe: Rs19.8bn). Gross margin stood at 31.6% (PLe: 32.4%), down by 110bps YoY. EBITDA declined by 22.1% to Rs1.6bn (PLe: Rs1.9bn) with EBITDA margin contracting 250bps YoY to 8.3% (PLe: 9.4%). PAT declined by 43.0% to Rs711mn (PLe: Rs1.2bn)..

ECD sales down 1.5%, lighting sales up 3.1% YoY: ECD segment declined 1.5% YoY to Rs13.7bn (PLe: Rs14.6bn). Fans saw single-digit degrowth because of prolonged monsoons while BLDC continued to see strong traction. Pumps delivered mid-teen growth, supported by strong momentum in solar pumps, which recorded 2x revenue growth. SDA grew in double digits, supported by new launches and festive campaigns. LDA recorded a de-growth due to erratic weather, competitive discounting, and inventory challenges. Lighting revenue grew by 3.1%YoY to Rs2.6bn. (PLe: Rs2.6bn), while B2C lighting growth driven by ceiling and street/flood lights. ECD EBIT margin contracted by 430bps to 10.6%. EBIT margin in lighting expanded by 480bps YoY to 15.5%.

Concall Takeaways: 1) Ceiling fans declined in single digits due to monsoons, and margins were pressured by TPW fans. 2) Solar pumps recorded 2x revenue growth, with market share of ~6-8%. 3) Solar rooftop segment secured its first order of Rs520mn, followed by additional orders of Rs4.45 bn, taking the aggregate order value to ~Rs5bn. 4) Company has implemented price hike of ~1.4% in Fans segment in Nov’25. 5) Company transitioned its Baddi facility from the lights segment to fans, resulting in a 50% increase in plant capacity. 6) The company has implemented two internal projects, Utkarsh 1 focuses on stocking/destocking efficiency, while Utkarsh 2 for manufacturing of new BEE-rated fans. 7) Lamps and battens now account for ~40% of the B2C lighting, down from ~65% earlier. 8) Inventory levels remain reasonable, supported by initiatives under Utkarsh 1 & 2. 9) Large Kitchen Appliances grew 34% QoQ, led by strong traction in the chimney portfolio.

 

 

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