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Motilal Oswal’s Analysis on Derivatives Positions & Market Trends

Overview

As markets consolidate within a 350-point range, derivatives data provides key insights into future movements. According to Motilal Oswal’s MOSt Market Roundup (March 13, 2025), options positioning suggests that Nifty’s short-term movement will be determined by critical resistance at 22,500 and support at 22,222.

Key Takeaways from the Derivatives Market

Options Activity Indicates a Range-Bound Market

Maximum Call OI: 23,000 and 22,500 (Strong resistance levels).

Maximum Put OI: 22,000 and 22,400 (Key support zones).

Put writing at 22,000 suggests strong downside support, but Call writing at 22,500-22,700 indicates resistance, keeping the market range-bound.

Stock-Specific Derivatives Data

Bullish Setup: Dmart, Kotak Bank, Solar Industries (showing strength in open interest buildup).

Weakness in Stocks: PB Fintech, Bharat Forge, Tata Technologies (profit booking and unwinding of positions observed).

Motilal Oswal’s analysts suggest selective stock plays based on derivatives strength, favoring large-cap stability.

Trading Strategies Based on Current Data

For Bulls: A breakout above 22,650 could trigger a strong move toward 23,000.

For Bears: A break below 22,222 may push the index toward 21,800.

Volatility Outlook: Expected to remain high with upcoming global economic data releases.

Conclusion

Motilal Oswal’s derivatives research suggests that traders should focus on key resistance and support levels while tracking sector-specific trends. With options data indicating a tight trading range, positional traders can adopt hedging strategies while awaiting a decisive market breakout.

(Source: MOSt Market Roundup, March 13, 2025, Motilal Oswal)

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