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2026-08-07 11:43:32 am | Source: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
Buy Pearl Global Ltd for the Target Rs 2,650 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
Buy Pearl Global Ltd for the Target Rs 2,650 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd

Robust revenue growth driven by volumes

Pearl Global’s (PGIL) revenue grew 24% YoY to INR15b in 1QFY27, led by volume growth of 21%. Indian business revenue grew 29% YoY to INR3.4b. Gross margin expanded by a robust 550bp YoY to 51.5%, while EBITDA margin settled at 10.7% (+159bp YoY), driven by an improvement in the product mix and operating leverage. Gross profit improvement was driven by stronger volumes and a higher contribution from value-added products. The Indian business is transitioning from fashion products toward core products with better margins, while capacity utilization remains at ~65-70% with scope for further expansion. We expect PGIL to continue delivering mid-double-digit revenue growth, led by capacity expansion by ~6-7m pieces in India and by 10m pieces in Bangladesh. Further, we expect EBITDA margin to expand to ~11-12%, driven by improving capacity utilization and a better product mix. We have raised our earnings estimates by 9%/6% in FY27/28, respectively, and reiterate a BUY rating.

Volume-driven revenue growth; capacity expansions to drive revenue

PGIL’s revenue grew 24% YoY to INR15b in 1QFY27, driven by robust volume growth of 21%, led by an improvement in the order book across its product mix. Capacity utilization for the quarter stood at ~83%, while realization grew at 3% YoY to INR735 per piece. The Indian business grew at 29% YoY to INR3.4b. With ongoing capacity expansion of ~6-7m pieces in India and 10m pieces in Bangladesh, we expect ~15% CAGR over FY26-28. The Bangladesh capacity expansion is expected to commence in Sept’26

Margin expansion led by a better product mix

In 1Q, gross margin expanded 550bp YoY to 51.5%. EBITDA grew 46% YoY to INR1.6b, with EBITDA margin at 10.7% (+159bp YoY), driven by an improved product mix and operating leverage. Adj. EBITDA margin for the Indian business declined to 6.6% due to an increase in other expenses, primarily driven by higher manufacturing expenses. The tax rate increased to 17% in 1QFY27 (14% in 1QFY26), with 1.2% attributable to a one-time asset reclassification in India that resulted in a higher deferred tax liability, implying a normalized tax rate of 15.8%. We expect gross margin to expand to ~49%, led by an improving product mix, and EBITDA margin to 11-12%, led by improving operating leverage due to increasing capacity utilizations in Indonesia and Guatemala, followed by Bangladesh, India, and Vietnam

Valuation and view: Reiterate BUY

We expect PGIL’s growth to be driven by ongoing capex additions across India and Bangladesh, backed by strong top-five customer relationships. We expect revenue, EBITDA, and PAT CAGR of 16%, 29%, and 34%, respectively, over FY26-28, fueled by capacity expansions. PGIL’s asset-light model supports strong return ratios, positioning the company for a gradual recovery in earnings quality. We have raised our earnings estimates and reiterate our BUY rating with a revised TP of INR2,650, valuing the stock at 16x FY28E EV/EBITDA (earlier TP INR2,460). Key risks: tariff and US exposure risk, raw material and cost pressures, and project and customer concentration risk. (refer to our IC note dated Jun’26).

 

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