Neutral Dabur Ltd for the Target Rs 425 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
In-line revenue; beat in profitability
DABUR released its business update for 2QFY27. Here are the key highlights:
Demand trends
* Demand remained steady despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, elevated commodity inflation and deficit rainfall.
* Management remains optimistic about further improvement in consumption, supported by the upcoming festive season.
* Rural demand continued to outpace urban demand, supported by continued efforts under Project Saksham.
* Emerging channels such as E-commerce and Quick Commerce are expected to maintain strong growth momentum.
India business performance
* India FMCG business is expected to deliver double-digit growth (est. 13% in 2QFY27, 9% in 1QFY27), marking its strongest performance in recent quarters.
* HPC is expected to post double-digit growth, while Healthcare is likely to grow in mid-single digits.
* Food & Beverages is expected to deliver mid-teen growth.
* Modern Trade continued to grow in double digits, while General Trade remained healthy across both rural and urban markets
Segmental performance
** Home & Personal Care (HPC)
* Hair Oils & Shampoos: high-teen growth, led by strong performance across perfumed and coconut hair oils; fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
* Oral Care: mid-single-digit growth on a high base, supported by brand investments and franchise strength.
* Home Care: high-single-digit growth.
* Skin Care: double-digit growth, supported by strong brand equity.
** Healthcare
* OTC & Ethicals: early-teen growth, reflecting sequential recovery.
* Digestives: high-teen growth, maintaining strong momentum.
* Health Supplements: Performance impacted temporarily by the transition to refreshed packaging and labels.
** Foods and Beverages
* Foods: Strong double-digit growth expected.
* Beverages: early-teen growth, supported by wider offerings across formats/price points and favorable seasonality.
* International business
* International business expected to deliver high-teen growth in INR terms (est. 12% in 2QFY27, 16% in 1QFY27) despite severe headwinds in the Middle East.
* Egypt, Turkey, USA, Bangladesh and the UK are expected to report strong double-digit growth in INR terms.
* Key brands continued to witness robust growth, supported by focused brand investments and wider distribution.
* Cost and margins
* Inflationary pressure remained elevated, particularly in HPC and OTC & Ethicals.
* Operating margins were impacted by higher input costs. The impact was partly offset by calibrated price increases and cost-saving initiatives.
* Management remains focused on improving cost competitiveness and leveraging digital capabilities.
* Consolidated business
* Consolidated revenue is expected to deliver double-digit growth (est. 13% in 2QFY27, 11% in 1QFY27), supported by broad-based growth across businesses.
* PAT is expected to grow in double digits (est. 8% in 2QFY27, 15% in 1QFY27), supported by strong business fundamentals.
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