Buy Godrej Consumer Ltd For Target Rs. 1,450 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd

* Domestic demand continued to mirror 4Q trends, with rural outpacing urban demand. We model 8% standalone revenue growth and 5% volume growth. Price hikes likely persisted in 1Q, especially in soaps.
* High inflation continues to put pressure on margins. We model a 330bp YoY contraction in the GP margin and a 130bp YoY contraction in EBITDA margins. The benefit of lower palm oil prices will materialize from 2QFY26 onwards.
* The company highlighted in its pre-quarter update that the Personal Care segment is expected to deliver lowsingle digit value growth, impacted by soaps. The Home Care business is likely to deliver double-digit value growth and UVG.
* The Indonesia business expected to deliver flattish UVG while GAUM business is likely to deliver strong doubledigit value growth and UVG
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