Wheat Crop Flourishes Across India, Higher Yields Expected by Amit Gupta, Kedia Advisory
India’s wheat crop is in good condition across most states, with farmers expecting yields to increase by 10% compared to last year. Government estimates peg production at over 115 million tonnes (mt), though some traders predict a lower 104-106 mt output. Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan have announced bonuses above the Minimum Support Price (MSP) of Rs.2,425/quintal, pushing prices in Gujarat to Rs.2,550/quintal. Early sowing and climate-resilient varieties contributed to the promising yields. Harvesting is progressing swiftly, with Gujarat leading at 30% completion. Demand from flour millers in Kerala and Karnataka is keeping prices stable, and the government aims to procure 31.27 mt for the 2025-26 season.
Key Highlights
* Wheat yields expected to rise 10% over last year.
* Government estimates production above 115 mt; traders expect lower.
* Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan offer bonuses over MSP.
* Early sowing, climate-resilient varieties boost crop health.
* Gujarat, MP, and Rajasthan lead in early harvesting.
India’s wheat market is showing promising signs this season, with prices holding strong. Currently, wheat prices in Gujarat are around Rs.2,550 per quintal, driven by bonuses announced in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan, where farmers receive more than the Minimum Support Price (MSP) of Rs.2,425 per quintal. Farmers harvesting superior wheat varieties in Madhya Pradesh are enjoying even higher rates, between Rs.2,800-3,000 per quintal, especially for wheat preferred for rotis.
The strong price performance aligns with a positive production outlook. Government estimates place wheat production above 115 million tonnes (mt), though millers predict 110 mt, and some traders remain skeptical, projecting output at 104-106 mt. Regardless, farmers across key states - Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, and Uttar Pradesh - are reporting healthier crops than last year, with yields expected to rise by 10%.
Timely sowing and adoption of climate-resilient wheat varieties are key factors in this improvement. Government data reveals that 67% of wheat acreage is now under such varieties, helping withstand erratic weather. Farmers from Madhya Pradesh report yields of 2-2.5 tonnes per acre - a notable jump from last year’s 1.5-1.6 tonnes.
Harvesting is moving swiftly, especially in Gujarat, where 30% of the crop is already harvested, followed by Madhya Pradesh (20%) and Rajasthan (10%). Traders note strong demand from flour millers in Kerala, sourcing wheat from Gujarat via sea routes, while Karnataka millers prefer road and rail transport for cost efficiency.
Finally
India’s wheat season looks promising with higher yields, stable prices, and strong demand. Bonuses, early sowing, and climate-resilient varieties are driving farmer confidence and market stability.
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