Gold Report As On 31st December 2025 by Amit Gupta, Kedia Advisory
Fundamental
Price Performance
Highlights
* Gold surged about 65% this year, marking its largest annual gains since 1979.
* Rally supported by potential US interest rate cuts expected in 2026.
* Ongoing Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela tensions boost Gold’s safe-haven appeal.
* Traders favor Gold to preserve value during periods of geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
* Increased CME margin requirements on gold and silver could trigger profit-taking pressure.
* Portfolio rebalancing due to higher margins might cap Gold’s upside potential.
* Reported progress on Ukraine peace deal could weigh on Gold prices.
* US Initial Jobless Claims report expected at 220,000 for week ending December 27.
* Fed cut interest rates 25 bps, targeting 3.50%–3.75% to ease inflation pressures.
* Fed Governor Miran opposed action, advocating a larger “jumbo” rate cut instead.
* Fed officials largely favor further rate reductions if inflation continues to decline.
* Probability of a January Fed rate cut fell slightly to around 15%.
* CME raised margins on gold, silver, and metals to reduce default risks.
Technical
Gold$ - Volatility
Gold$ - RSI
Gold$ - MACD
Gold$ - Vortex
Gold$ - Elliott Wave
Gold$ - Bearish Harmonic Pattern
MCX GOLD - Bearish Harmonic Pattern
Gold Silver Ratio
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