Gold and Silver Firm Amid Geopolitical Tensions; GSR Heading Toward 75 by Amit Gupta, Kedia Advisory
Key Highlights
* Gold stabilizes near $4,950 after recent volatility spike.
* Silver rebounds toward $78 after defending $70 support.
* Russia–Ukraine stalemate sustains geopolitical risk premium globally.
* US–Iran tensions boost crude oil and safe-haven demand.
* GSR ratio heading toward 75, favoring gold strength.
Gold and silver are showing renewed firmness after heightened volatility over the past few sessions. International gold prices have consolidated between $4,850 and $4,990, currently stabilizing near $4,950. Silver has rebounded strongly from the critical $70 support zone and is now trading close to $78, reflecting improving short-term sentiment.
Russia–Ukraine: Recent negotiations failed to produce a breakthrough, keeping geopolitical uncertainty elevated and supporting safe-haven flows into bullion.
US–Iran: Rising tensions, including strategic developments around key energy routes, have lifted crude oil prices and strengthened gold’s defensive appeal. While any escalation may be short-lived, it continues to underpin near-term sentiment.
US Federal Reserve: Upcoming Fed meeting minutes could influence the US dollar and bond yields. A softer dollar environment would provide additional tailwinds for precious metals.
Technical Bounce: Earlier margin hikes reduced speculative excess across exchanges, creating a healthier market structure and room for fresh buying.
Technically, gold may test the $5,240 level, while silver could advance toward $85 if momentum persists. The Gold–Silver Ratio, currently near 65–66, appears to be heading toward 75 — typically signaling relative outperformance of gold during periods of heightened uncertainty.
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