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2026-05-06 02:28:28 pm | Source: Religare Broking Ltd
Buy Mahindra & Mahindra Limited For Target Rs. 4510 by Religare Broking Ltd
Buy Mahindra & Mahindra Limited For Target Rs. 4510 by Religare Broking Ltd

Strong Consolidated Financial Performance: Mahindra & Mahindra delivered a standout Q4FY26 with consolidated revenue rising 29% YoY to Rs 54,982 crore and PAT surging 42% to Rs 4,668 crore. For FY26, revenue grew 25% to Rs 1.98 lakh crore, while PAT increased 35%, reflecting strong operating leverage. The company achieved an impressive ROE of 20%, exceeding its stated target, and generated net cash of Rs 16,000 crore, ending with Rs 41,000 crore in cash reserves. This robust financial position highlights disciplined capital allocation, strong execution, and resilience across business cycles, reinforcing M&M’s position as a high-quality industrial compounder.

Automotive Segment Driving Growth Momentum: The automotive division remains the primary growth engine, with M&M maintaining its leadership in SUV revenue market share at 24.5%. Volumes grew 21% YoY to 3.07 lakh units in Q4, supported by strong demand for premium SUVs and improved product mix. Segment revenue rose 32%, while PAT surged 49%, reflecting operating leverage and pricing strength. EV penetration reached 9.6% for FY26 and turned PBIT positive in Q4, marking a critical milestone. Capacity expansion to 64,000 units/month and future plant investments position the company to sustain mid-to-high teens growth in SUVs over the medium term

Farm Equipment Business Shows Leadership with Stability: The farm equipment segment reinforced its dominance, achieving a record 43.6% market share in FY26 and crossing 5 lakh tractor sales. Q4 revenue grew 26% YoY to Rs10,022 crore, although PAT growth remained muted due to product mix changes and one-time impacts. Core tractor margins remained strong at 20.8%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency. Strategic exits from underperforming international subsidiaries have improved profitability visibility and reduced earnings volatility. With continued focus on mechanization, product innovation, and rural demand tailwinds, the farm segment remains a stable and high-margin contributor to overall earnings.

Growth Gems Emerging as Scalable Value Drivers: M&M’s “Growth Gems” are transitioning from optional bets to meaningful contributors. Tech Mahindra reported a 290 bps improvement in EBIT margins, signaling a turnaround in profitability. Mahindra Finance saw AUM growth of 12% with stable asset quality, while Mahindra Lifespaces recorded a sharp 55% jump in residential presales. Segment PAT for Growth Gems grew 50%, highlighting scalability. These businesses offer diversification beyond core cyclical segments and provide long-term optionality, with potential monetization opportunities such as the planned listing of Last Mile Mobility.

Strategic Execution in EVs, AI, and Supply Chain Resilience: M&M is executing a forward-looking strategy anchored in EVs, AI, and supply chain resilience. It retains leadership in electric 3-wheelers with~40% market share and is scaling its EV portfolio, which has already turned profitable at the PBIT level. The “Mahindra.AI” initiative focuses on automation, transformation, and innovation, targeting Rs 4,100 crore in AI-led revenue by FY27. Additionally, supply chain localization and risk mapping across Rs 1 lakh crore of procurement strengthen operational resilience. These initiatives indicate a shift from cyclical manufacturing to a tech-enabled, future-ready enterprise with multiple growth levers

Outlook and Valuation Perspective: Looking ahead, M&M is well-positioned to benefit from India’s structural growth story, with guidance indicating mid-to-high teens growth in SUVs, steady tractor demand, and strong expansion in Growth Gems. The company targets 15-20% long-term EPS growth, supported by premiumization, EV adoption, and operating leverage. On the financial front, we estimate Revenue, EBITDA, and PAT to grow at a CAGR of 17.2%, 14%, and 6.3%, respectively, over FY26-28E. Accordingly, we maintain our BUY rating with a target price of Rs 4,510.

 

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