01-01-1970 12:00 AM | Source: Accord Fintech
Opening Bell: Domestic indices likely to get positive start tracking firm cues from global markets
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Indian markets extended losses for the second straight day on Wednesday as sentiment turned cautious with fears of US debt default mounting as the deadline to raise the government's borrowing limit draws near. Today, start of the session is likely to be positive tracking firm cues from global markets as leaders in the US assured there won't be a debt default. Some support will come with a private report that the country's current account deficit may narrow to 1.4 per cent of GDP or $50 billion in 2023 as compared to 2.4 per cent in the previous year as net remittances flows are expected to be $104 billion. However, there may be some cautiousness with a private report that the value of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) in Indian equities was at $542 billion in the March quarter of 2023, a decline of 11 per cent from the preceding year, largely due to the exodus of foreign money from the domestic market. In comparison, the value of FPI in Indian equities was $612 billion in the January-March quarter of 2022. There will be some buzz in the fertilizer and agriculture related stocks with report that the Union Cabinet approved a Rs 1.08 lakh crore package for fertiliser subsidy for the April-September kharif season. Of the Rs 1.08 lakh crore subsidy, Rs 70,000 crore is for urea and Rs 38,000 crore for Di-ammonium Phosphate, or DAP. The subsidy is likely to benefit about 12 crore farmers. The Kharif season is crucial for farmers as they rely heavily on fertilisers during this time for crop cultivation and yield enhancement. IT hardware stocks will be in focus as the Union Cabinet approved the modified production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme for information technology (IT) hardware to boost local manufacturing of products like tablets and laptops, and more than doubled its budgetary outlay to Rs 17,000 crore from the previous provision of Rs 7,325 crore. There will be some reaction in hotel industry stocks with private report that Indian hotels in terms of room rate and occupancy have not only reached but surpassed pre-Covid levels. Investors also await quarterly results of companies including State Bank of India, ITC, GAIL (India) and Interglobe Aviation, to be out with results later in the day.

The US markets close higher on Wednesday after US President Joe Biden and Republican Party's House of Representatives speaker Kevin McCarthy vowed to avoid an economically catastrophic default. Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Thursday following overnight gains on Wall Street.

Back home, Indian equity benchmarks extended their losses for the second consecutive session on Wednesday with Sensex declining by 371 points while the Nifty closing below the 18,200-level, led by mixed global markets amid worries over the debt ceiling crisis in the US. After making a cautious start, markets lingered in negative territory throughout the day, as traders were anxious with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) stating that a slight delay is expected in the onset of the southwest monsoon over Kerala and it is likely to arrive by June 4. Some pessimism also came amid the UN's latest report showing that prospects for a robust global economic recovery remain dim as the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic carry on. The report found that risks of a prolonged period of low growth stand, amid stubborn inflation, rising interest rates, and heightened uncertainties, in addition to the ever- worsening impact of climate change. Markets extended fall in afternoon deals, as sentiments remain dampened with a private report stating that a cash crunch is persisting in India, pushing short-term borrowing costs above a key policy interest rate and posing risks to an economy that needs cheaper funding to sustain its recovery. Traders took a note of Indian Banks' Association (IBA) chief executive Sunil Mehta’s statement that banks have requested the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for one more year's time to implement the system of Expected Credit Loss (ECL) for provisioning of loans. At present, banks set aside money after an asset turns bad, and once the new system is put in place, it is widely expected to have an one-time impact on banks' profits. However, in the final hours of the session, the indices cut some losses, as some support came with exchange data showing that Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were buyers on Tuesday as they bought equities worth Rs 1,406.86 crore. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 371.83 points or 0.60% to 61,560.64 and the CNX Nifty was down by 104.75 points or 0.57% to 18,181.75.  

 

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