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Cotton

Cotton yesterday settled down by -0.33% at 38990 as India’s Cotton sowing gained by nearly 5.98% to 123.09 lakh hectares in 2022 against an area sown of 116.15 lakh hectares in 2021. In Gujarat Cotton sowing grows by nearly 13% with 2,538,383.00 hectares against sown area of 2021 which was 2,250,743.00 hectares. In Rajasthan Cotton sowing witnessed a gain of 3.76% with 652.61 thousand hectares as against 628.94 thousand hectares on the same day last year. In its monthly supply-demand report, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) cut its global production forecast by 3.1 million bales, and the U.S. output outlook by 3 million bales for the 2022-23 crop year. Hot and dry weather conditions in key growing areas in the United States have threatened the condition of the natural fiber crop and raised supply concerns. The USDA's lower global output estimates also reflected a reduction of about 100,000 bales "as extreme heat in Uzbekistan reduced yield prospects there." However, the agency said it expects the lower U.S. production projections to result in a 2 million bale reduction in exports compared with July, and a 200,000 bale dip in mill use. In recent time, the heavy rainfalls and pest attacks are affecting the cotton crop. In the northern states of Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan cotton crop has been affected due to pink bollworm infestation. Whereas in Maharashtra and Telangana excess rainfall in July, over the major cotton-growing districts has affected the crop. In spot market, Cotton dropped by -380 Rupees to end at 47170 Rupees.Technically market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -7.76% to settled at 689 while prices down -130 rupees, now Cotton is getting support at 38560 and below same could see a test of 38130 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 39360, a move above could see prices testing 39730.

Trading Idea for the day

Cotton trading range for the day is 38130-39730

Cotton dropped as India’s Cotton sowing gained by nearly 5.98% to 123.09 lakh hectares in 2022.

However, cotton crops in India, remain under threat due to adverse weather conditions and pest attacks in major growing regions

USDA cut its global production forecast by 3.1 million bales, and the U.S. output outlook by 3 million bales for the 2022-23 crop year.

Cocudakl

Cocudakl yesterday settled down by -2.87% at 2642 on profit booking after prices seen supported as available stock is estimated to be very limited, the quality of which is also very weak. Support also seen after reports that there is a forecast of damage due to heavy rains after sowing of cotton in Vidarbha and Khandesh parts of Maharashtra. Sporadic arrivals of new cotton have already started in Haryana and Punjab, while the arrival of new cotton will start in Khandesh at the end of August and in Madhya Pradesh in September. All India Mandi arrivals of Kapas fell by around 82% on M-o-M basis; they were also lower by around 19% on Y-o-Y basis. Gujarat is a major producer of cotton across the country and reports of increase in sowing of cotton by at least 20% in Gujarat are coming. As per CAI, total cotton supply till end of the cotton season 2021-22 is estimated at 402.16 lakh bales of 170 kg each, lower by around 18% as compared to 488 lakh bales last year. Cocudakl’s stock in NCDEX warehouse reduced from 21 lakh sacks to 7.50 lakh sacks. 60 to 70% of Cocudakl’s stock in Gujarat is estimated to be weak quality stock. At present, only 15% of crushing mills are operational in Gujarat as the demand Khali has come down drastically due to high prices and availability of grass fodder. In Akola spot market, Cocudakl gained by 2103.35 Rupees to end at 2891.15 Rupees per 100 kgs.Technically market is under fresh selling as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 8.12% to settled at 42740 while prices down -78 rupees, now Cocudakl is getting support at 2610 and below same could see a test of 2577 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 2698, a move above could see prices testing 2753.

Trading Idea for the day

Cocudakl trading range for the day is 2577-2753

Cocudakl dropped on profit booking after prices seen supported as available stock is estimated to be very limited, the quality of which is also very weak

Support also seen after reports that there is a forecast of damage due to heavy rains after sowing of cotton in Vidarbha and Khandesh

Global cottonseed production is projected at 44.1 million tons, up 3 percent

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