Gold Holds Near Record Highs Amid Global Uncertainty and Fed Bets by Amit Gupta, Kedia Advisory
Gold prices remain near record highs, driven by global trade tensions, geopolitical conflicts, and expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. Gold holds strong above the $3,000 mark, supported by a weaker US Dollar and market anticipation of multiple interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, tensions in the Red Sea and Gaza add to safe-haven demand. Positive developments in China’s economy, including new stimulus plans, counterbalance the rally, keeping gold’s gains in check. Technical indicators suggest a bullish outlook despite overbought conditions, with key support levels around $2,930. Traders await the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, which could set the next major direction for gold.
Key Highlights
* Gold remains near record highs above $3,000 amid global tensions.
* Fed rate cut expectations continue to support the Gold pair.
* A weaker US Dollar boosts gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
* Geopolitical conflicts in Yemen and Gaza fuel demand for bullion.
* China’s economic stimulus measures cap further gains for gold.
Gold prices remain close to their all-time highs, holding firm above the $3,000 psychological level. This strength comes as global markets face rising uncertainty from escalating trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Investors continue to flock to gold as a safe-haven asset, supported by expectations that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates multiple times throughout 2025 to combat a slowing economy.
The US Dollar’s weakness, hovering near multi-month lows, further fuels gold’s rally. Softer inflation data, a cooling labor market, and the University of Michigan’s weak Consumer Sentiment Index reinforce the possibility of three rate cuts this year - in June, July, and October. This dovish outlook supports the non-yielding metal, keeping gold attractive despite strong performance in Asian equity markets, spurred by China’s latest stimulus measures aimed at boosting consumption and reviving the property sector.
Geopolitical events continue to play a significant role in driving gold demand. Rising tensions in the Red Sea, where Houthi militants threaten US ships, and deadly strikes in Gaza intensify market jitters, strengthening bullion’s appeal. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s comments downplaying recession fears provided some reassurance, though uncertainties around US trade policies remain.
From a technical perspective, gold’s recent breakout past $2,930 signals continued bullish momentum. However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) nearing overbought territory, a brief consolidation or pullback may occur. Key support lies around $2,956, with deeper corrections possibly testing $2,930.
Finally
Gold’s upward momentum remains strong, backed by global uncertainty and Fed rate cut expectations. Technical signals suggest a brief consolidation before the next potential leg higher.
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