Gold and Silver Hit Records on Rate-Cut Hopes By Amit Gupta, Kedia Advisory
Gold and silver surged to record highs as expectations of future US Federal Reserve rate cuts and escalating geopolitical tensions boosted safe-haven demand. Gold crossed $4,497, marking an exceptional year-to-date rise of over 70%, while silver rallied sharply toward $70, supported by both monetary and industrial factors. Markets are increasingly pricing in multiple rate cuts through 2026–27, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. Geopolitical risks around energy security, combined with strong central bank buying and ETF inflows, have further reinforced investor confidence in precious metals.
Key Highlights
* Gold crosses $4,497, posting its strongest annual performance since 1979
* Silver surges nearly 37% in five weeks, nearing the $70 mark
* Fed rate-cut expectations for 2026–27 fuel precious metal demand
* Geopolitical tensions boost safe-haven buying across global markets
* Central bank purchases and ETF inflows strengthen long-term outlook
Gold and silver prices have surged to unprecedented levels, reflecting a powerful combination of monetary policy expectations and heightened geopolitical uncertainty. Gold climbed above $4,497 for the first time, extending an already historic rally that has taken prices more than 70% higher year-to-date. Silver followed closely, rallying nearly 37% over the past five weeks and approaching the $70 mark, also setting a new all-time high.
The sharp price performance has been largely driven by growing confidence that the US Federal Reserve will maintain an easing bias into 2026 and beyond. Recent economic indicators point to moderating inflation pressures and a cooling labour market, prompting markets to price in at least two interest rate cuts next year. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold and silver, making them more attractive relative to fixed-income instruments.
Geopolitical developments have provided additional momentum. Rising tensions involving energy trade routes, including tanker seizures near Venezuela and escalating risks linked to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have heightened concerns over global energy security. These risks have reinforced demand for traditional safe-haven assets amid broader market uncertainty.
Institutional participation has further strengthened the rally. Central banks continue to accumulate gold as a reserve asset, while sustained inflows into gold-backed ETFs signal long-term confidence among global investors. Silver, meanwhile, benefits from a dual demand profile. In addition to its safe-haven appeal, strong industrial demand from sectors such as solar power, electric vehicles, and data centres provides structural support to prices.
This combination of macroeconomic tailwinds, geopolitical risks, and solid fundamentals continues to underpin the strength in precious metals.
Finally, with easing monetary expectations, rising geopolitical risks, and strong institutional demand, gold and silver remain well-positioned to sustain elevated price levels in the evolving global environment.
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