Powered by: Motilal Oswal
2025-03-25 12:31:25 pm | Source: Kotak Securities Ltd
Commodity Research - Morning Insight - 25 March 2025 by Kotak Securities Ltd
Commodity Research - Morning Insight - 25 March 2025 by Kotak Securities Ltd

Bullion -

Comex gold futures extended losses for the third consecutive session on Monday, declining 0.19% to settle at $3,015.6 per ounce. Early gains were erased as long liquidation emerged following a rally in the dollar index to a two-week high. The dollar strengthened after the March S&P Global Services PMI surged to 54.3 from 51.0, exceeding forecasts of 50.8. Conversely, the March S&P Global Manufacturing PMI dropped sharply to 49.8 from 52.7, indicating contraction. Hawkish Fed commentary added pressure on bullion after Atlanta Fed President Bostic signaled just one 25-bps rate cut this year. Meanwhile, U.S. and Russian officials held ceasefire talks in Saudi Arabia, with Washington emphasizing a Black Sea maritime deal. Geopolitical risks persist as Israel plans military drills near Lebanon and evacuations in northern Gaza. Today, gold trading below $3,020 as investors now eye key U.S. economic data, including home sales and consumer confidence.

Gold

 

Silver

 

Crude Oil –

WTI Crude gained for the fourth consecutive session yesterday, driven by President Trump's warning of a 25% tariff on countries importing oil and gas from Venezuela. Additionally, oil prices received support from improved risk sentiment amid signs that Trump's trade sanctions may be more targeted than previously anticipated. However, the upside was capped as the US extended Chevron's wind-down of oil exports from Venezuela until May 27, an extension from the original deadline of March 4. Today, oil prices steadied near $69 per barrel, supported by concerns over supply disruptions and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

 

Natural Gas -

NYMEX Henry Hub gas futures fell 1.7% on Monday, closing at $3.914 per MMBtu, extending losses from last week, owing to reduced heating demand prospects as spring weather approaches.

 

Base metals –

LME base metals ended mixed on Monday, with copper briefly crossing the $10,000/tonne mark before settling at $9,956, up 1%. Copper prices gained as traders reassessed the impact of Trump's proposed tariffs, which now appear more targeted than initially feared. The widening price gap between Comex and LME copper, hitting a record $1,400/tonne, has triggered a rush to ship metal into the U.S., leaving global markets, especially China, short on supply. The Asian copper market is tightening amid speculation of U.S. import tariffs, adding to global supply disruptions. In China, the Yangshan premium has nearly doubled this month, while Southeast Asian import premiums hit their highest since last April. LME metals could rise today as traders evaluate signs that U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs may be more targeted than initially anticipated. However, a rebound in the dollar may limit the upside, curbing gains.

 

 

Above views are of the author and not of the website kindly read disclaimer

Disclaimer: The content of this article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investments in financial markets are subject to market risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers are strongly advised to consult a licensed financial expert or advisor for tailored advice before making any investment decisions. The data and information presented in this article may not be accurate, comprehensive, or up-to-date. Readers should not rely solely on the content of this article for any current or future financial references. To Read Complete Disclaimer Click Here