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24-09-2024 02:03 PM | Source: Kedia Advisory
China Unveils Comprehensive Stimulus Package Amid Economic Challenges by Amit Gupta, Kedia Advisory

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China's central bank has introduced a comprehensive monetary stimulus package to combat severe deflationary pressures and aims to achieve the 2024 growth target of approximately 5%. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) plans to lower borrowing costs, reduce reserve requirement ratios, and ease mortgage burdens to bolster consumer spending. However, analysts express concern over the absence of policies aimed at stimulating real economic activity, suggesting that additional fiscal measures are necessary. The property sector, experiencing significant downturns, will benefit from reduced mortgage rates and downpayment requirements. Overall, while these initiatives are a step forward, more aggressive fiscal policies are essential for a robust economic recovery.

Key Highlights

* China's central bank introduces extensive monetary and property market support measures.

* The stimulus package aims to combat strong deflationary pressures.

* Analysts express concern over the lack of policies for real economic activity.

* Property market support includes reduced mortgage rates and downpayment requirements.

* Local governments are increasing bond issuance for infrastructure projects.

China's central bank has unveiled a broad monetary stimulus package aimed at reviving its struggling economy, which is facing severe deflationary pressures and risks missing the 2024 growth target of approximately 5%. In response to a series of disappointing economic data, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced significant measures, including lowering borrowing costs and increasing liquidity to encourage consumer spending and investment.

Despite these efforts, analysts highlight the absence of direct support for stimulating real economic activity. With weak credit demand from businesses and consumers, many believe that additional fiscal stimulus will be necessary to complement the PBOC's initiatives. The central bank plans to reduce reserve requirement ratios by 50 basis points, releasing about 1 trillion yuan ($142 billion) for new lending, while also cutting various interest rates to foster a more conducive borrowing environment.

In the struggling property sector, where prices have seen the sharpest declines in over nine years, the PBOC introduced measures to alleviate the mortgage burden on households. These include lowering average interest rates on existing mortgages by 50 basis points and reducing downpayment requirements to 15% for all home types. Such steps aim to restore consumer confidence, which has been severely impacted by the ongoing property crisis.

With local governments accelerating bond issuances to fund infrastructure projects, the PBOC's measures signal a concerted effort to stabilize the economy. However, many analysts assert that aggressive fiscal policies are still needed to inject genuine economic demand.

Finally

While the new stimulus package represents a significant move, further fiscal support is crucial for sustainable economic recovery in China.

 

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