Buy Mahindra Finance Ltd for the Target Rs.450 by Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd
We attended MMFS’s CPC, branch, and tractor dealer visits, where the management showcased Project Udaan, the MTezz app, and the Samur.AI stack. Tech-driven processes have reduced in-principle approvals to under 20min and end-to-end TAT from 8–10 days to 1–2 days.
Key takeaways:
1) Wheels onboarding reached 100% on MTezz in 1QFY27, enabling digitized lead management, improved FOS productivity, strong tractor traction with 32% NTC customers (vs 20% industry), and moderating repossessions (2–3%).
2) Twin CPCs (Airoli and Hyderabad) and Samur.AI have halved costs, while scorecard underwriting and vernacular AI bots have improved collection efficiency (from 70% cash to 75% digital), while managing doubled contract volumes with flat headcount.
3) Branch capacity has shifted from back-office processing to crossselling 8 financial products. MMFS remains well-placed for sustainable growth, supported by gains in operating leverage, asset quality, and distribution efficiency. We retain BUY and Sep-27E TP of Rs450, implying FY28E PBV of 2x
Digital initiatives gaining ground
Project Udaan has transitioned MMFS into a standardized, digital-first lending platform. Wheels origination is now 100% on MTezz (integrated with digital KYC, VAHAN, and Account Aggregators), reducing first-offer TAT from 7–8 days to under 20min and loginto-disbursement from 10–12 days to 1–2 days (~85% of cases). Underwriting leverages 13,000+ BRE rules and 30 years of proprietary data to deliver firm POS offers for underserved buyers (32% NTC vs 20% industry), driving >45% tractor disbursement growth. Twin CPCs complete 200–300+ checks in 2–3 hours, while Samur.AI verifies ~70% of files across unstructured and vernacular records, halving cost per file and trimming CPC headcount from ~880 to ~460 despite higher volumes. Collections have shifted from 70% cash to 75–77% digital (new e-mandates at 85–90%), with vernacular AI bots helping manage doubled active contracts over two years with a flat workforce.
Reshaping branches into lean sales hubs
Operational centralization through the CPC architecture has transformed MMFS’s ~1,300 branches into lean sales and cross-selling hubs (~2.5 staff per branch; branch network already PAT-positive). Freed from routine processing, branch personnel and cashiers now carry active sales targets across ~150k–200k walk-ins, expanding distribution across eight products, led by insurance (~Rs9.5bn premium in FY26), doubled FD mobilization over two years, and personal loans (Suvidha and PL Next). This shift accelerated growth in non-interest income, with fee and commission revenue growing ~40% yoy in 1QFY27. Further, the impending merger of the housing finance subsidiary will add ~300 branches, providing operating leverage as MMFS extends its centralized underwriting, digital workflows, and cross-sell model across the enlarged franchise
Structural transformation underway; reiterate BUY
Project Udaan and Samur.AI are creating structural advantages for MMFS by compressing TAT, strengthening underwriting, and enabling branch-led cross-selling to improve operating leverage and fee income. Backed by dealer conversion and productivity gains, we reiterate BUY with Sep-27E TP of Rs450 (implying FY28E PBV of 2x).
For More Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd Disclaimer http://www.emkayglobal.com/Uploads/disclaimer.pdf & SEBI Registration number is INH000000354
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