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Cotton

Cotton yesterday settled down by -3.15% at 35400 as India’s Cotton sowing gained by nearly 7.34% to 126.66 lakh hectares in 2022 against an area sown of 118 lakh hectares in 2021. Cotton crops, remain under threat due to adverse weather conditions and pest attacks in major growing regions. India’s cotton output for the season 2022-23 is likely to touch 375 lakh bales (each of 170 kg), given no climatic adversities affect the crop during October, sources said. India’s Cotton sowing gained by nearly 7.34% to 126.66 lakh hectares in 2022 against an area sown of 118 lakh hectares in 2021.Atul Ganatra, President, Cotton Association of India (CAI), stated that the cotton crop condition in India was "very good and if everything goes well, we are expecting 350 lakh bales +/– 25 lakh bales." The crop size may touch 375 lakh bales if there are no rains during October. In its monthly supply-demand report, the 2022/23 U.S. cotton projections include higher beginning stocks, production, exports and ending stocks this month, the USDA's report said. Additionally, the 2022/23 world cotton projections include higher production and ending stocks relative to last month, and lower consumption. In recent time, the heavy rainfalls and pest attacks are affecting the cotton crop. In the northern states of Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan cotton crop has been affected due to pink bollworm infestation. In spot market, Cotton dropped by -150 Rupees to end at 41320 Rupees.Technically market is under fresh selling as the market has witnessed a gain in open interest by 8.75% to settle at 733 while prices are down -1150 rupees, now Cotton is getting support at 35010 and below same could see a test of 34620 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 36140, a move above could see prices testing 36880.

Trading Idea for the day

Cotton trading range for the day is 34620-36880.

Cotton dropped as as India’s Cotton sowing gained by nearly 7.34% to 126.66 lakh hectares in 2022

India’s cotton output for the season 2022-23 is likely to touch 375 lakh bales

Cotton area is estimated at 126 lakh hectares till September 2 — up 8-9 per cent from 117 lakh hectares last year.

Cocudakl

Cocudakl yesterday settled up by 0.21% at 2355 on low level buying after prices dropped due to surging selling pressure at physical market. Stockiest are offloading their stocks in wake of bumper production outlook of cotton. Reports of rising area under cotton and increased availability of green fodder kept cotton seed oil cake prices down. However some support seen last week as available stock is estimated to be very limited, the quality of which is also very weak. Support also seen after reports that there is a forecast of damage due to heavy rains after sowing of cotton in Vidarbha and Khandesh parts of Maharashtra. Sporadic arrivals of new cotton have already started in Haryana and Punjab, while the arrival of new cotton will start in Khandesh at the end of August and in Madhya Pradesh in September. All India Mandi arrivals of Kapas fell by around 82% on M-o-M basis; they were also lower by around 19% on Y-o-Y basis. Gujarat is a major producer of cotton across the country and reports of increase in sowing of cotton by at least 20% in Gujarat are coming. As per CAI, total cotton supply till end of the cotton season 2021-22 is estimated at 402.16 lakh bales of 170 kg each, lower by around 18% as compared to 488 lakh bales last year. Cocudakl’s stock in NCDEX warehouse reduced from 21 lakh sacks to 7.50 lakh sacks. 60 to 70% of Cocudakl’s stock in Gujarat is estimated to be weak quality stock. In Akola spot market, Cocudakl gained by 57.8 Rupees to end at 2757.45 Rupees per 100 kgs.Technically market is under fresh buying as the market has witnessed a gain in open interest by 4.98% to settle at 28440 while prices are up 5 rupees, now Cocudakl is getting support at 2341 and below same could see a test of 2328 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 2369, a move above could see prices testing 2384.

Trading Idea for the day

Cocudakl trading range for the day is 2328-2384.

Cocudakl gained on low level buying after prices dropped due to surging selling pressure at physical market.

Stockiest are offloading their stocks in wake of bumper production outlook of cotton.

Weakness in relative feed meal like soymeal and mustard meal will pull the prices down further.

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