Quote on Market Morning Inputs 21th July 2025 by Shrikant Chouhan, Head Equity Research, Kotak Securities

Below the Quote on Market Morning Inputs 21th July 2025 by Shrikant Chouhan, Head Equity Research, Kotak Securities
Last week, the benchmark indices witnessed profit booking at higher levels. Nifty closed 0.72 per cent lower, while Sensex was down 742 points. Among sectors, media and realty indices outperformed, gaining 3.77 and 3.68 per cent, respectively, while defence and private bank indices witnessed profit booking. The Defence index was down 4 per cent, and the private bank index was down over 2 per cent.
Technically, on the daily and intraday charts, the market is in a lower top pattern, and on the weekly chart, it has formed a bearish candle, indicating a negative trend. We believe the short-term market structure is weak, but fresh selling is possible only after a break of 24,900/81600 levels. Below this level, the market may retest the 24,700/81,000 levels, with major support at 24,850.
On the other hand, the 50-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) or 25,050/82100 and 25,150/82500 would act as crucial resistance zones for short-term traders. If the market manages to trade above 25,150/82500, it could bounce back to the 20-day SMA or 25,320/83000. Further upside could push the index higher to 25,450-25,500/83400-83600.
For Bank Nifty, the 50-day SMA or 56,000 would act as a key support zone, while the 20-day SMA or 56,900 could act as a crucial resistance zone for the bulls. Below 56,900, it can fall to 56,500-56,100, while above 56,900, it can go up to 57,100-57,350.
For the day, buy between 25850-25750 with a stop loss at 25700 on a closing basis. The move past 25050 should increase the momentum towards 25150 and later 25300. A close below 24700 could be negative in the short term as the Nifty may fall to 24500 or 24400 levels.
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