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2025-04-16 02:23:21 pm | Source: Kotak Securities Ltd
Quote on Gold and Crude by Kaynat Chainwala, AVP-Commodity Research, Kotak Securities
Quote on Gold and Crude by Kaynat Chainwala, AVP-Commodity Research, Kotak Securities

Below the Quote on Gold and Crude by Kaynat Chainwala, AVP-Commodity Research, Kotak Securities

 

Comex gold prices gained late in the US session as US Treasury yields declined for the second straight day. Investment demand continues to strengthen, with data from the World Gold Council showing that Chinese gold ETFs recorded robust inflows, rising by 29.1 metric tons in the first 11 days of April alone. This figure has already surpassed total Q1 inflows and is outpacing flows into US-listed gold funds. Meanwhile, President Trump is reportedly considering exemptions on auto tariffs, following temporary relief measures for certain tech products, while launching national security investigations into imports of pharmaceuticals and semiconductors. Today, COMEX gold surged to a record high of $3,311.70 per ounce, driven by growing trade war concerns after the US government tightened export rules to China. Trump also announced an investigation into whether tariffs are needed on critical minerals, further fueling market anxiety. Besides, investors are eyeing US retail sales data and a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell for further clues on the direction of monetary policy.

WTI crude oil fell below $61 per barrel on Tuesday as the escalating trade war between the world’s two largest oil consumers is hurting global demand outlook. The International Energy Agency (IEA) revised its global oil demand growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 downward, citing mounting trade tensions. The IEA's new forecast sees demand rising by just 730,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2025, down from its previous estimate of 1.03 million bpd, and slowing further to 690,000 bpd in 2026. These cuts are deeper than those recently projected by OPEC. Despite stronger-than-expected data from China, oil prices remain under pressure and extend declines today to $60.4/bbl amid persistent trade uncertainty. Additionally, the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a rise in US crude inventories. If confirmed by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), it would mark the third consecutive weekly increase, and exert further pressure on prices.

 

 

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