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2025-04-04 05:28:03 pm | Source: Motilal Oswal Wealth Management Ltd
MOSt Market Roundup : Sensex Sinks 900 Points, Nifty Slips Below 23K Amid Global Trade Tensions by Motilal Oswal Wealth Management
MOSt Market Roundup : Sensex Sinks 900 Points, Nifty Slips Below 23K Amid Global Trade Tensions by Motilal Oswal Wealth Management

• The equity benchmark Sensex dropped over 900 points, and the Nifty closed below the 23,000 mark, dampening market sentiment amid concerns over escalating global trade tensions. The announcement of higher-than-expected reciprocal tariffs by US President Donald Trump, followed by China’s 34% tariff on US goods, raised fears of a full-blown trade war. Additionally, market sentiment worsened after reports surfaced that Trump was considering new tariffs on pharmaceutical imports, reversing his April 2 decision to exclude the sector. This raised concerns about higher costs for Indian drug exporters

• The growing trade tensions sparked fears of a global economic slowdown, higher inflation, and the negative effects of a trade war. Global markets saw sharp declines, with the US index falling up to 6% overnight due to Trump's tariff escalation.

• The US tariffs have heightened recession concerns, with fears that the steep increase could undermine global economic growth. Both Asian and European markets dropped over 2%, while the US index Future shed 2%. The Nifty tumbled 345 points (1.5%) to close at 22,904, and the BSE Sensex plunged 930 points (1.2%) to 75,364. Nifty metal, real estate, pharma, oil & gas, mid-cap, small-cap, and IT indices all fell between 3-7%.

• The Nifty 500 stocks advance-to-decline ratio stood at 1:9, indicating that bears are dominating the domestic equity market. Metal stocks, including Vedanta, National Aluminum, Hindustan Copper, NMDC, Tata Steel, and Hindustan Zinc, dropped between 5-9%, driven by concerns about weakening global demand and a sharp decline in base metal prices on the LME.

• The Nifty Pharma Index also fell 4% following Trump’s comments that the US is still considering tariffs on pharmaceutical products. Upstream oil companies like ONGC, Reliance Industries, and Oil India dropped between 3-8%, as Brent crude prices fell to a three-year low of $66 per barrel.

• IT stocks continued their downward trend, with the Nifty IT Index declining by 4%, amid concerns that weak global growth could negatively impact earnings.

Technical Outlook:

• Nifty Index opened gap negative and dripped by more than 350 points during the day. After the sharp selloff in the first hour, it kept cascading throughout the day to find a halt near 22850 zones and finally closed with losses of around 350 points. It formed a bearish candle on the daily frame but has been making lower highs from the last four sessions.

• It formed a bearish candle on weekly frame and negated its higher highs – higher lows of the last three sessions. Now till it holds below 23000 zones, weakness could be seen towards 22600 then 22500 zones whereas resistances have shifted lower to 23000 then 23200 zones.

Derivative Outlook:

• Nifty future closed negative with losses of 1.54% at 22967 levels. Positive setup seen in Indigo, Marico, Bajaj Finance, Max Healthcare, HDFC Bank, Tata Consumer Product, MFSL, Indus Tower, Nestle, Pidilite Industries, ICICI Bank, Hindustan Unilever and Apollo Hospital while weakness in Hindustan Copper, National Aluminium, VEDL, Tata Steel, Bharat Forge, Laurus Labs, Hindalco, Coforge, HCL Tech, NMDC, ONGC and JSL.

• On option front, Maximum Call OI is at 23000 then 23200 strike while Maximum Put OI is at 22500 then 22800 strike. Call writing is seen at 23000 then 23200 strike while Put writing is seen at 22900 then 22500 strike. Option data suggests a broader trading range in between 22400 to 23500 zones while an immediate range between 22700 to 23100 levels.

• HCL Tech - Fitch Ratings has affirmed India-based HCL Technologies Limited's Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at 'A-'. The Outlook is Stable..

• KP Green – Company has provided an update to the exchange about the successful completion of Phase 1 of the construction at the Matar factory

• Afcons Infrastructure - Company has obtained the Environmental Clearance Certificate for its dam construction project in Madhya Pradesh. This clearance is a crucial milestone, paving the way for the project's execution and contributing to the region's water management and infrastructure development.

• Trump Says pharma tariffs under review - Wall Street Journal reports that tariffs on pharmaceuticals are still under consideration. “The pharma is going to start coming in, I think, at a level that we haven’t really seen before,” WSJ cited President Donald Trump as saying

• J&K Bank March Business Update (QoQ) - Total deposits as on March 31 at Rs 1.5 lakh crore vs Rs 1.4 lakh crore, Gross advances as on March 31 at Rs 1.1 lakh crore vs Rs 99,133 crore and CASA ratio as on March 31 at 47.01% vs 48.2%

• Union Bank of India Business Update (QoQ) - Domestic deposits as on March 31 rose 7.5% to Rs 12.7 lakh crore, Domestic advances as on March 31 rose 3.6% to Rs 9.5 lakh crore, Total business (Global) as on March 31 rose 5.9% at Rs 22.9 lakh crore, Total deposits (Global) as on March 31 rose 7.7% at Rs 13 lakh crore, Domestic Retail advances as on March 31 rose 7.4% at Rs 2.2 lakh crore

Global Market Update

• European Market - European Index declined sharply after a $2.5 trillion wipeout of US equities and putting MSCI’s global benchmark on track for the biggest weekly loss in seven months. The rally in Treasuries accelerated as investors priced a hit to growth. German and British 10-year bond yields dropped more than 10 basis points. Against a backdrop of an intensifying global trade war, as well as the monthly jobs report and a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speech later today UK, Germany and France Index slipped 2% each.

• Asian Market - Asian shares slid further Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs sent shudders through W

• US Data - Change in Non-farm payrolls and Unemployment rate

 

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