Covered Call Strategy for Energy Products at NSE By Amit Gupta Kedia Advisory
Covered Call
In the complex landscape of financial markets, option strategies serve as powerful tools for investors seeking to manage risk and optimize returns. Options provide the flexibility to hedge against market volatility or generate income through various strategic plays. One such strategy that has gained popularity, particularly in the realm of energy products, is the Covered Call Strategy. This strategy involves an investor holding a long position in an asset, such as a stock or an exchange-traded fund (ETF), while simultaneously writing (selling) call options on that same asset. The covered call strategy aims to enhance returns by collecting premiums from the sale of call options, providing a form of income while still allowing participation in potential asset appreciation. In the context of energy products, where market dynamics are influenced by geopolitical events, supply and demand fluctuations, and environmental factors, the covered call strategy can be a valuable approach for investors seeking a balanced and income-generating investment strategy. This introduction sets the stage for a closer examination of how the covered call strategy can be effectively applied to navigate the intricacies of the energy market.
Advantages of the Covered Call Strategy for Energy Products:
The Covered Call Strategy for energy products, focusing on crude oil and natural gas, presents a compelling approach for investors. By selling call options against long positions, this strategy offers the dual advantage of generating a steady income through premium collection and providing a measure of downside protection. It excels in stable or moderately fluctuating markets, contributing to portfolio diversification and allowing investors to participate in potential upside movements. With a customizable risk-reward profile and adaptability to market conditions, the Covered Call Strategy emerges as a versatile tool for navigating the dynamic landscape of energy investments. Some of the advantages could be listed as under:
Income Generation: Generates a consistent income stream by selling call options against long positions in energy products.
Risk Mitigation: Acts as a hedge, providing downside protection through the premiums received from selling call options.
Enhanced Returns in Sideways Markets: Particularly effective in stable or moderately fluctuating markets, allowing investors to capitalize on premium income.
Portfolio Diversification: Introduces diversification to investment portfolios, contributing to a more balanced and resilient overall portfolio.
Participation in Upside Potential: Investors retain the opportunity to benefit from potential upward movements in crude oil or natural gas prices.
Customizable Risk-Reward Profile: Tailorable to individual risk tolerance and return objectives by selecting different strike prices and expiration dates for call options.
Adaptability to Market Conditions: Responsive to changing energy market conditions, offering a dynamic approach to investment management.
When to Use Covered Call Strategy
The Covered Call strategy is a popular options trading approach that involves selling call options against a long position in an underlying asset. This strategy is well-suited for specific market conditions where income generation, moderate price movement expectations, and risk mitigation are key considerations. Here are five conditions under which the Covered Call strategy can be effectively employed:
Sideways or Range-Bound Markets: Use the Covered Call strategy when the market is moving sideways or within a defined range. This strategy is effective in stable conditions where the underlying asset's price isn't expected to experience significant fluctuations.
Low to Moderate Volatility: Employ the Covered Call strategy in markets with low to moderate volatility. This is because stable market conditions generally result in more predictable option premiums, providing a consistent income source.
Income Generation Objectives: Utilize Covered Calls when the primary goal is income generation. This strategy allows investors to earn premiums by selling call options against their long positions, particularly suitable for assets like dividend-paying energy stocks.
Neutral to Slightly Bullish Outlook: Apply the Covered Call strategy when you have a neutral to slightly bullish view of the market. This approach allows you to participate in potential price increases while generating income through selling call options.
Risk Mitigation and Downside Protection: Implement the Covered Call strategy for risk mitigation and downside protection. While it doesn't eliminate risk, the premiums received from selling call options act as a partial hedge, reducing the overall cost basis of the underlying asset. This is beneficial when concerned about potential downturns in the market.
Steps for Execution of Covered Call Strategy
Embarking on a Covered Call Strategy in the dynamic realm of energy commodities, specifically crude oil or natural gas, requires a systematic approach. This strategic manoeuvre involves carefully orchestrated steps to capitalize on potential price stability, generate consistent income, and manage risk effectively. The process begins with the selection of the underlying asset, followed by the acquisition of a long position. Crucially, investors then navigate the nuanced decision-making process of choosing and selling call options, collecting premium income in the process. As market conditions unfold, vigilant monitoring becomes paramount, providing the opportunity to assess potential exercises and make informed decisions. With adaptability and risk management at its core, the execution of a Covered Call Strategy in crude oil or natural gas serves as a nuanced and strategic investment approach in the ever-evolving landscape of energy markets.
Select the Underlying Asset: Choose the energy product you want to invest in, such as crude oil or natural gas. This will be the underlying asset for your covered call position.
Buy the Underlying Asset: Acquire a long position in the chosen energy product by purchasing the corresponding amount of shares or contracts.
Determine the Call Option: Select a call option to sell. Consider factors like the expiration date and the strike price. The strike price should be above the current market price if you want to generate income and potentially sell the asset if the price rises.
Sell the Call Option: Execute the sale of the selected call option. This establishes the covered call position, where you own the underlying asset and have sold a call option against it.
Collect Premium Income: Receive the premium (payment) from selling the call option. This income adds to your overall return on the investment.
Monitor Market Conditions: Keep a close eye on market developments, including the price movements of the underlying asset and any relevant news or events that may impact the market.
Evaluate Exercising Options: As the expiration date approaches, assess whether the call option is likely to be exercised. If the market price is below the strike price, the option may expire worthless, allowing you to keep the premium.
Repeat or Adjust: Depending on market conditions, you can choose to repeat the covered call strategy with the same or different strike prices, or you may adjust your strategy based on evolving market dynamics.
Close or Roll Positions: If the call option is in-the-money and you prefer to keep the underlying asset, you may choose to buy back the call option and sell a new one with a later expiration date (rolling the position) or close out the entire position.
Risk Management: Continuously assess and manage risks. Be prepared to act if the market moves unexpectedly, and consider using protective strategies if needed.
Actual Execution of Covered Call Strategy in Crude Oil
Let's assume you're dealing with 100 barrels of crude oil per contract on NSE, and the current market price at NSE is Rs. 5800 per barrel. We'll consider three scenarios for the call option: "In-the-Money" (ITM), At-the-Money (ATM) and "Out-of-the-Money" (OTM).
Initial Position:
Purchase 100 barrels of crude oil at NSE at Rs. 5800 per barrel: 5800 * 100 = Rs. 5,80,000.
Sell Call Option:
Choose a call option with a strike price at NSE of Rs. 6200 and a premium of Rs. 250 per barrel.
Sell one call option for 100 barrels, collecting a premium of Rs. 25,000 (100 *250).
Scenario 1: In-the-Money (ITM) at Expiry: Bullish
Market Price at Expiry on NSE: Rs. 6200 per barrel.
Call Option Exercise: The call option is exercised, and you sell 100 barrels at the strike price of Rs. 6200.
Scenario 2: Out-of-the-Money (OTM) at Expiry: Bearish
Market Price at Expiry on NSE: Rs. 5,500 per barrel.
Call Option Expires Worthless: The call option is not exercised.
Scenario 3: At-the-Money (ATM) at Expiry:
Market Price at Expiry on NSE: Rs. 5,820 per barrel.
Call Option Expires Worthless: The call option is not exercised.
Different Market Scenarios
Bullish Market: Let’s assume you Buy Crude oil at NSE at Rs.5800 so our contract value becomes (as crude lot size is 100) Rs. 5800*100 = Rs. 5,80,000 and simultaneously Sell Call (CE) option of 6200 at Rs.250 (Lot size=100); Rs.25,000 is the premium received. In Bullish case if the prices close at expiry at Rs.6200 the following is the calculation.
Exit Price - Entry Price + Premium Received
= 6,20,000 - 5,80,000 + 25,000
= 65,000 (would be my profit)
Range Bound Market: Let’s assume you Buy Crude oil at NSE at Rs.5800 so our contract value becomes (as crude lot size is 100) Rs. 5800*100 = Rs. 5,80,000 and simultaneously Sell Call (CE) option of 6200 at Rs.250 (Lot size=100); Rs.25,000 is the premium received. In Range Bound scenario if the prices close at expiry at Rs.5820 the following is the calculation.
Exit Price - Entry Price + Premium Received
= 5,82,000 - 5,80,000 + 25,000
= 27,000 (would be my profit as per the premium received)
Bearish Market: Let’s assume you Buy Crude oil at NSE at Rs.5800 so our contract value becomes (as crude lot size is 100) Rs. 5800*100 = Rs. 5,80,000 and simultaneously Sell Call (CE) option of 6200 at Rs.250 (Lot size=100); Rs.25,000 is the premium received. In the Bearish case if the prices close at expiry at Rs.5500 the following is the calculation.
Exit Price - Entry Price + Premium Received
= 5,50,000 - 5,80,000 + 25,000
= -5,000 (would be my minimal loss)
Note: For P&L calculation, we have done; (Exit Volume - Entry Volume + Premium Received)
In conclusion, applying the Covered Call Options Strategy on NSE Crude Oil resulted in profit potential for both bullish and rangebound market scenarios, with returns of 11.21% and 4.66% respectively. However, a bearish market trend would lead to a minor loss of 0.86%. While this strategy offers downside protection and additional income through premiums, it also caps potential gains in a strong bull market. Success ultimately hinges on accurate market prediction, making careful consideration of market conditions crucial before implementing this strategy.
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