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2026-06-10 09:37:04 am | Source: Choice Institutional Equities
Buy Ultratech Cement Ltd for the Target Rs. 15,210 by Choice Institutional Equities
Buy Ultratech Cement Ltd for the Target Rs. 15,210 by Choice Institutional Equities

Key Conference Call Highlights

Guidance and growth outlook

* UTCEM remains on track to expand capacity by an additional 37 MTPA, targeting 242.5+ MTPA by FY28, while also evaluating growth plans beyond the 240 MTPA milestone

* Management expects sustainable volume growth of 7–8% CAGR, with an aspiration to deliver double-digit volume growth in FY27

* The company plans to maintain an annual capex run-rate of INR 80– 100 bn, supported by a fully funded expansion

* UTCEM remains committed to its sustainability roadmap, targeting 85% green power utilisation by FY30

Margin improvement levers

* Turnaround of acquired assets continues to gain momentum, with India Cements' EBITDA/t improving to INR 497 in Q4FY26 from INR 333 in Q2FY26 and INR 305 in Q3FY26. Management targets >INR 1,000/t EBITDA by FY28, while Kesoram is already operating near this level

* The West Asia conflict led to temporary cost pressures through higher fuel, freight and packaging costs, including an incremental INR 900 Mn bag cost impact in March and a non-cash forex MTM hit of INR 120–130/t on EBITDA

* Management remains confident of delivering efficiency gains beyond the guided INR 300/t by FY28, having already achieved around INR 185/t of savings

Pricing environment

* Realisations strengthened during Q4FY26, with grey cement prices rising ~2.5% across most regions, aided by premiumisation and an improved trade mix

* Completion of brand migration for India Cements and Kesoram assets supported realisation gains, benefiting from UTCEM’s stronger premium brand positioning

* Industry pricing remained broadly stable through FY26, with fluctuations limited to 0–5%, while recent price hikes in April were aimed at offsetting input cost inflation

* Management believes current pricing actions are adequate to absorb cost increases, barring any sharp currency depreciation or significant diesel price escalation

* Given the fragmented industry structure, steep price hikes remain difficult; however, pricing improvements are typically more visible during Q1

Sustainability and ESG roadmap

* UTCEM continues to scale its renewable energy platform, with installed green energy capacity reaching 1.8 GW

* Currently, 43% of total power requirements are met through green energy, with a roadmap to increase this to 85% by FY30

* The company is targeting a 1.54x clinker conversion ratio by FY28, supporting both sustainability objectives and long-term profitability

 

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