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2026-05-21 01:50:04 pm | Source: Prabhudas Lilladher Ltd
Buy Latent View Analytics Ltd For Target Rs.450 by Prabhudas Liladhar Capital Ltd
Buy Latent View Analytics Ltd For Target Rs.450 by Prabhudas Liladhar Capital Ltd

Balancing growth & margin amid top clients challenges

LATENTVI reported Q4 revenue of US$31.4mn, marginally below our est., while adj. EBITDA stood at 24.1% missed our estimate of 26% due to continued investments in senior leadership hiring, AI capabilities, and partnership expansion. FY26 revenue of US$120mn was broadly in line with management aspirations despite continued weakness in Technology vertical (up 9.5% YoY), while non-Tech segments delivered strong ~41% growth led by BFSI. The negative impact on Technology vertical (vendor consolidation and insourcing by top client) would lead to ~US$6.5-7mn annualised revenue hit in FY27E. However, it expects to partly (50-60%) recoup the leakage through AI-led deal wins and improving tech spending trends. The continued traction around AI is validated through growing share of Advanced AI (beyond classical automation), contributed ~49% to FY26 revenue. The revenue from the Databricks engagement stood at US$ 17.5mn in FY26 (up ~46% YoY), while it aspires to achieve ~60% YoY growth in FY27E. Management reiterated its aspiration of delivering 19-20% US$ rev. growth in FY27E, supported by 12-13% visibility from existing order book and qualified pipeline, while achieving the remainder through incremental opportunity as the year progresses. However, considering the Q4 low-base and anticipated mid-single digit growth in Hi-Tech (55% of rev). We remain slightly cautious and trimming our USD revenue growth estimates by 60bps each for FY27E/FY28E. On margins, continued investments in senior leadership, AI, and Databricks capabilities are likely to keep profitability under pressure in the near term; accordingly, we lower our EBITDA margin estimates to 23.5%/24.2% for FY27E/FY28E (24.3%/24.5% earlier). The Cash & Cash equivalent accounts for ~19% of market cap, while maintaining a healthy cash conversion of 60%. We maintain our BUY rating with an unchanged target price of INR 450, based on 30x FY28E EPS.

Revenue:

Rev. remained flattish in Q4 at USD 31.4 mn, up 0.3% QoQ, marginally below our est. of USD 31.5 mn. Growth was driven by CPG & Industrial segments which grew by 29.8% & 17% QoQ respectively while BFSI after 5 qtrs. of robust growth reported moderate growth of 0.3% QoQ. Tech segment declined sharply by 9.5% QoQ due headwinds of vendor consolidation, project rationalization, and insourcing by large clients. For FY26, company reported US$ growth of 19.7% with organic growth of ~18.2%.

Operating Margin:

EBITDA margin of 24.1%, down 60 bps QoQ came below our est. of 26% due to higher visa exp. (-110 bps), increased investments in AI & Databricks capabilities, senior leadership hiring partially offset by tailwinds of forex benefit (+110 bps) & absence of severance pay incurred in Q3

 

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