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2026-06-11 04:49:52 pm | Source: Choice Institutional Equities
Buy Fractal Analytics Ltd for the Target Rs.1,250 by Choice Institutional Equities
Buy Fractal Analytics Ltd for the Target Rs.1,250 by Choice Institutional Equities

Key Conference Call Highlights

Segment Performance

* HLS: This was the standout leader, delivering an exceptional 13% QoQ growth in Q4. It has now become the company's second-largest vertical on a quarterly run rate basis.

* BFSI: This segment grew by 14.5% QoQ in Q4.

* CPGR: Remained the company’s largest vertical, contributing 37% of total revenue, though it grew at a more modest 6.2% QoQ in Q4, due to weakness in the first half of the year.

* TMT: This vertical declined 13.2% QoQ in Q4 due to two specific client issues: one client entering a joint venture that reduced work with Fractal to near zero, and another facing massive internal restructuring.

Business Segment:

* Fractal Alpha (IP-led businesses): This segment, which includes Asper.ai and Analytics Vidhya, grew 41% in the year. The latter specifically grew by 49%, while Asper grew by 31%. Segment losses narrowed down significantly from INR 26 Cr in FY25 to INR 15 Cr in FY26.

Geographical Performance

* Europe: Led geographical growth with a 34% increase for the full year.

* Americas: Grew by 20% over the fiscal year.

* APAC: Declined 3% for the year due to the same client-specific issues affecting the TMT vertical, though growth turned positive in Q4 at 7%.

Margin Trajectory

* Adjusted EBITDA: The Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin reached 22%, up 189 bps YoY. For the full year, the adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.6%.

* Gross Margin: Expanded by 93 bps for the full year to reach 46.8% supported by higher contribution from output-based contracts, pricing improvements and FX tailwinds.

* Efficiency Levers & Headwinds: Margin expansion was driven by a shift toward output-based contracts, price increases, and productivity improvements, which contributed 218 bps to the full-year gross margin. These gains were partially offset by annual merit increases, which had a negative impact of 304 bps on the full-year gross margin.

* R&D Investment: The company invested INR 212 crore in R&D during FY26, representing 48% growth over the prior year.

Outlook & Guidance

* Engagement Model Target: The company aims for 60% of its revenue to come from output, outcome, or license-based models in the medium term.

* License Revenue Goal: Management plans to increase license-driven revenue from the current 3% to 20% by 2030.

AI Initiatives

* Strategic Framework: The company operates through three pillars: i) AI-led transformation (process redesign), ii) AI foundations (data and agents), and iii) AI for work and workforce transformation (people dimension).

* Cogentiq Platform: All strategic pillars run on Cogentiq, an agentic AI platform that allows agents to plan, coordinate, and execute work reliably within enterprise systems.

Product Innovations:

* Flyfish.ai: An agentic sales platform featuring 35 coordinated agents to manage the sales pipeline.

* Vaidya 2.0: A healthcare foundation model that achieved record scores for clinical reasoning.

* Pi Evolve: An agentic engine for autonomous machine learning.

 

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