Powered by: Motilal Oswal
2026-06-01 12:24:08 pm | Source: Choice Institutional Equities
Add Sobha Ltd for the Target Rs. 1,840 by Choice Institutional Equities
Add Sobha Ltd for the Target Rs. 1,840 by Choice Institutional Equities

Key Conference Call Highlights

Macro Environment:

* Inquiries remain stable across SOBHA’s projects, with demand momentum holding positive despite the Middle East crisis/AI concerns

* Demand remains strong in the sub-INR 30 Mn segment, with stable pricing and steady momentum across NCR and Bengaluru

* There is a significant increase in price of raw materials (event-led). Effect on margin is to be seen in the next 1 year. Price increases so as to counter the effect will depend on the demand-supply dynamics

* The management is seeing an increase in inquiries in the Kerala market in the backdrop of the uncertainty in Middle East

Operations:

* FY26 sales were led by Bangalore (INR 45 Bn, 55%), followed by NCR (INR 24.55 Bn, (30%). Kerala contributed INR 8.08 Bn (10%) and other cities INR 3.96 Bn (5%)

* Launched projects of 6.04 msf in FY26. More launches were delayed due to internal and external factors during Q4FY26

* SOBHA marked its entry into Greater Noida with Sobha Rivana (~2.57 msf) achieving ~25% pre-sales (INR 5 Bn) within 2 weeks of its launch. Initial sales were not very impressive as they were impacted by late-quarter launch timing. The Management expects steady momentum and potential price hike over time

* For its larger projects, the management is focusing on phased launches in order to optimize pricing and sustain absorption for large developments

* Commercial strategy is back-ended, with limited exposure in Phase 1 of township projects and more meaningful rental/commercial development planned in subsequent phases

Launches:

* Project Hoskute of 5.3 msf and GVD of INR 70 Bn to be launched in Q1FY27

* Sobha Crescent Phase 1 in Gurgaon, which was launched in April ’26, has seen a good response (50% or units worth INR 11 Bn sold till date)

* Plan to launch a couple of projects in Kerala in Q2FY27 ? Tentative FY27E launch schedule includes one project in Pune and Chennai each

Guidance:

* The management is guiding for 30% growth in pre-sales in FY27E, broadly in line with FY26 trajectory

* For FY27E, sales are expected to be roughly 45–50% from sustenance and 50-55% from new launches

* Plan to launch projects of 20.67 msf and 10 msf in FY27Ein the next 6–8 quarters ? Margin expected to improve from Q2/Q3 FY27 as key projects near completion and get recognised

* Plan to do business development of 10 msf by investing ~INR 11 Bn every year with visibility for the next 2 years

* Business development is focussed on Mumbai (MMR) and Hyderabad with a calibrated scale-up approach. SOBHA is adopting a cautious Mumbai strategy by starting with smaller and redevelopment projects as they want to build execution capability before scaling up

 

For Detailed Report With Disclaimer Visit. https://choicebroking.in/disclaimer

SEBI Registration no.: INZ 000160131

Disclaimer: The content of this article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Investments in financial markets are subject to market risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers are strongly advised to consult a licensed financial expert or advisor for tailored advice before making any investment decisions. The data and information presented in this article may not be accurate, comprehensive, or up-to-date. Readers should not rely solely on the content of this article for any current or future financial references. To Read Complete Disclaimer Click Here