27-03-2024 02:33 PM | Source: Choice Broking
Add Gabriel India Ltd. For Target Rs.395 By Choice Broking

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Gabriel India reported better than expected margins during the quarter, however there was a miss on the revenue front due to weak offtake from OEM. Revenue during the quarter stood at Rs. 8.14bn and grew by 14.5% YoY/ -5.9% QoQ (vs CEBPL est. of Rs.9.1bn) led by weaker offtake from OEMs. Gross margin expanded by 109bps YoY to 25.5% /+ 24bps QoQ due to cost reduction efforts. EBIDTA during the quarter increased by 36.7% YoY to Rs. 702mn and margin for the quarter jumped by 140bps YoY/12bps to 8.63%. PAT increased by 47.5% YoY to Rs.430mn. Company started sunroof production to Hyundai (CRETA) from Jan month, currently with 300-400 units/day and expected to reach peak capacity by FY26. Supply to KIA will start in January 2025, with the first line dedicated to Hyundai which starts from Jan-24.

 

  • Winning new orders: During the quarter the company has won various order on EV segment such as in domestic market received new order from Aprilia, won an EV platform from TVS, Platina from BAJAJ, new business from Suzuki EV platform and for OLA MotorCycle.  The PV segment won a new order for Swift platform from MSIL as second source, Curve platform from TATA and also working on EV other platforms.
  • Diversification into Sunroof to reduce single product dependency: GIL has a leadership position in the suspension systems, supplying and catering to all segments such as 2W, 3W, PV, CV, and railways and is also having support from parent Anand Group. In order to foray into a new edge product which is agnostic to power terrain technology and healthy growth prospectus, GIL has forayed into Sunroof system. Demand for sunroofs remains robust. The price difference between panoramic and normal sunroofs is almost double and current import content is 50-60%. The company has technical collaboration and alliance with Inalfa Roof Systems (51:49) for manufacturing sunroofs in the domestic automotive market. The company has received some RFQs, and the current capacity is expected to reach 50-60% utilisation of the first-line capacity by FY25. Additional capacity can be added within 3-4 weeks’ time.

Outlook & Valuation: We have positive view on the stock supported by: 1) foray into high growth and power terrain technology agnostic product like sunroof system; 2) scaling up the technological capabilities; 3) steady revenue visibility in the aftermarket (export leading the show); 4) increasing share of business in PV segment; and 5) winning new orders from E-2W OEM and expanding capacity. We rate the GIL with ADD rating with a TP of Rs.395, based on 23x on FY26E EPS.

 

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