Outlook on 2022 - Sense & sentiment - envisioning 2022 & Beyond By Yes Securities
ENVISIONING 2022 & BEYOND…
CONSUMPTION JUGGERNAUT TO CONTINUE
* Household Consumption will increase by 46% to INR 191 trillion over the next four years
* Average Household Income to jump from INR 6.8 lakhs in FY22 to INR 9.5 lakhs in FY26
* Gen Z and Millennials to drive consumption
* Core inflation of 5-6% will not dent purchasing power
RISE IN COST OF CAPITAL WILL BE EXTREMELY GRADUAL
* FED taper tantrums won’t spoil the party
* Headline inflation is a transient phenomenon
* India Inc borrowing rates mirror Sovereign paper
* Earnings to offset marginal rise in G-Sec yields
EARNINGS WILL KEEP THE BALL ROLLING
* Earnings growth over the next 3 years to exceed the last decade average substantially
* Bolstering of B/S paves the growth path
* Troubled sectors are out of the woods
* A shift towards organized market share will ensure that even a 10% nominal GDP growth will translate into strong corporate earnings
MARKET CYCLE HINTS AT A MEGA RALLY : NIFTY 32000 in 2025
* Abundant Liquidity to keep Equities in the reckoning
* Growing Institutional participation, a shot in the arm for Indian Markets
* India gaining share in EM Equity basket
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