01-01-1970 12:00 AM | Source: Accord Fintech
Markets likely to make flat-to-positive start on Wednesday
News By Tags | #879

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Indian markets snapped their longest winning streak in nearly 10 months on Tuesday and ended lower for the first time in eight sessions due to profit booking on the back of in-line September quarter results. Today, the start of session is likely to be flat-to-positive amid strong global cues and the ongoing earnings season. Traders will be taking encouragement as Services Export Promotion Council (SEPC) said the country’s services exports are expected to reach over $240 billion during 2021-22 on account of healthy performance by segments such as professional and management consulting services, audio visual, freight transport services, and telecommunications. Some support will come as pointing out that India is the only G20 nation well on track to achieve the goals mentioned under the Paris Agreement, Niti Aayog CEO Amitabh Kant said India’s efforts in mainstreaming sustainability and reducing carbon footprint should inspire countries across the world. Traders may take note of Minister of State for Electronics and IT Rajeev Chandrasekhar's statement that the government is looking at rolling out a five-year strategic perspective plan to make India a significant tech player. Meanwhile, GST Council is likely to consider one single tax rate for online gaming, racecourses, casinos and that could be as high as 28 percent. However, there may be some cautiousness with a private report that current account leading to higher imports and a rise in current account deficit, which is likely to print at 1.3 per cent of the GDP or $40 billion, up from 0.9 per cent surplus last fiscal. Additionally, the International Monetary Fund downgraded its 2021 economic growth forecast for Asia after the highly infectious Covid-19 delta variant caused a spike in cases in parts of the region. Banking stocks will be in focus as rating agency Crisil in a research note said that the gross non-performing assets (NPAs) of Indian banks may rise to 8-9 per cent by the end of this fiscal year (FY22), 50-150 basis points higher than FY21 levels, but much below the FY18 levels when NPAs reached a peak of 11.2 per cent. There will be some reaction in tobacco related stocks as the government constituted an expert panel on future taxation policy for tobacco. It will develop a comprehensive tax policy on the products from the point of view of public health. There will be lots of important earnings announcements too, to keep the markets in action.

The US markets ended higher on Tuesday with the biggest boosts from the technology and healthcare sectors as investors appeared to bet on solid quarterly reports even as some worried that it was too early to celebrate. Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Wednesday following overnight gains on Wall Street.

Back home, Indian equity benchmarks surrendered all of their intra-day gains to end marginally lower amid bouts of volatility on Tuesday. Broader markets closed deep in the red. Domestic markets started the day’s trade at fresh all-time highs, as traders got encouragement with Union Minister Shobha Karandlaje’s statement that the Centre has infused Rs 1,31,000 crore to boost agriculture and allied sectors with special emphasis on becoming an export-oriented economy as India has tremendous potential to satiate global demand. Additional optimism also came after preliminary data of the commerce ministry showed that the country's exports rose by 40.5 per cent to $15.13 billion during October 1-14 on account of healthy performance by key sectors such as petroleum products, engineering and chemicals. Sentiments remained positive with Crisil Ratings’ report stating that the private industrial capital expenditure (capex) appears to be getting into a whole new cycle after the COVID-19 pandemic hiccup, driven by conducive government support through policy measures such as the Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme and reduced tax rates and accommodative monetary policies and lower interest rates. However, markets turned red with minutes left before the closing bell, even as the Reserve Bank of India in its latest monthly bulletin ‘October 2021’ stating that amidst an accentuation of global risks, the Indian economy is picking up steam, although the recovery is uneven and trudging through soft patches. The step up in vaccination, slump in new cases/mortality rates and normalising mobility has rebuilt confidence. Market participants also failed to take support from a private report stating that Indian startups received a record funding of $10.9 billion across 347 deals in the third quarter of 2021. This is twice the amount of funding received in Q3 of the calendar year 2020 and an approximate increase of 41 percent compared to the second quarter of 2021. Meanwhile, observing that a continued coordinated policy response to fight COVID-19 including through vaccines is critical to overcome the ongoing health crisis, a top IMF official has said that addressing the long-standing reform priorities and improving education outcomes will be key to help minimise adverse medium-term impacts from the pandemic and further boost long-term growth in India. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 49.54 points or 0.08% to 61,716.05 and the CNX Nifty was down by 58.30 points or 0.32% to 18,418.75.

 

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