Markets likely to get flat-to-positive start
Indian markets tumbled on Thursday amid weak global cues, extending losses to a third straight day. Selling pressure across sectors, led by IT, financial and auto shares, pulled the headline indices lower. Today, the start of new week is likely to be flat-to-positive amid mixed global cues. Traders will be taking encouragement with report that a jump in government spending in September has led Icra to upgrade its GDP growth estimate for the second quarter of FY2021-22 to 7.9 per cent. Also, the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM) said the Indian economy is likely to grow by 7 – 7.5 per cent in the next fiscal year. Some support will come as Revenue Secretary Tarun Bajaj said with the net direct tax collection till October closing in on Rs 6 lakh crore and average monthly GST mop-up likely around Rs 1.15 lakh crore this fiscal, the government’s tax collection kitty will surpass budget estimates this financial year. Traders may take note of report that the commerce ministry said exports of agricultural and processed food products rose by 14.7 per cent to $11.65 billion during the April-October period on the back of healthy growth in commodities including rice, and fresh fruits and vegetables. However, some cautiousness may come as RBI data showed the country’s foreign exchange reserves declined by $ 763 million to $640.112 billion in the week ended November 12. Meanwhile, the government has increased goods and services tax (GST) applicable on finished products such as apparel, textiles and footwear from 5 percent to 12 percent, effective January 2022. Aviation stocks will be in focus as DGCA data showed domestic air passenger volume spiked 70.46 percent in October to 89.85 lakh over the same month of 2020. There will be some reaction in mining industry stocks as the mines ministry said the index of mineral production of mining and quarrying sector for September stood at 95.1, which was 22.3 per cent higher as compared to the year-ago month. Meanwhile, at the end of Day 2, Go Fashion (India) IPO was subscribed 6.87 times, with retail quota receiving bids up to 24.6 times. The issue will close later in the day.
The US markets ended mostly in red on Friday as renewed Covid-19 concerns weighed on cyclical stocks as a brutal fourth wave of the coronavirus pandemic sweeps across Europe. Asian markets are trading mixed on Monday tracking weakness over Wall Street.
Back home, extending losses to a third straight day, Indian equity benchmarks ended over half a percent each lower on Thursday, as weak global cues impacted sentiment. Losses across most sectors, led by metal, auto and capital goods, pulled the headline indices lower. After making cautious start, key gauges fell sharply and continued downside move throughout the day, as traders got anxious with a private report stating that even though the overall outlook for corporates have improved on the back of faster than expected recovery, and the same is likely to gain further traction in H2 but the rising commodity prices and logistics cost pose headwinds to their profitability. Traders took a note of former RBI Deputy Governor N S Vishwanathan’s statement that money laundering and lack of clarity on valuations are the primary concerns of central banks in being circumspect about the introduction of cryptocurrencies. He also said that if the government goes ahead and allows cryptocurrencies, bankers need to be wary and not confuse persons’ wealth with the amount of crypto assets they hold even if they do not use it as collateral for lending. Domestic markets however, recovered some of losses in the late afternoon trading, as traders got some support with Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s statement that there are clear signs of an uptick in the economy and the industry should now start taking risks and invest in capacity creation that will help cut reliance on imports. She also asked the industry to offer jobs to reduce income disparity and cut down on importing finished goods reduce and instead ramp up investment in manufacturing. But markets failed to trim all losses and ended lower, even as Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM) Chairman Bibek Debroy said that India is on a path towards a higher growth trajectory, higher poverty reduction, higher employment, and a prosperous, more developed and better governed India and the country’s Gross domestic product (GDP) is likely to grow at around 10 percent in 2021-22. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 372.32 points or 0.62% to 59,636.01 and the CNX Nifty was down by 133.85 points or 0.75% to 17,764.80
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