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COTTON

Cotton yesterday settled down by -3.6% at 31640 as selling pressure intensified after demand from China eased. However downside seen limited in anticipation of a possible fall in production, and the remaining cotton stock is also low, while import demand from China remains high. China will start a new round of sales from its cotton reserves, with a total 600,000 tonnes of imported and domestic cotton to be sold off in daily auctions, according to an official notice. It is the second batch of cotton to be released from reserves this year and is designed to better meet demand for the fibre from spinning companies. Both production estimates for the 2021/22 crop year and ending stocks in the U.S. were largely unchanged at 18.20 million bales and 3.40 million bales respectively, the USDA said in its November World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. India’s cotton production in 2021-22 season is likely to be 360.13 lakh bales of 170 kg each (equivalent to 382.64 lakh running bales of 160 kg each), which is more by 7.13 lakh bales than the previous season’s crop of 353 lakh bales, the Cotton Association of India (CAI) has said in its first estimate for the new season beginning October 1, 2021. In spot market, Cotton gained by 30 Rupees to end at 31910 Rupees.Technically market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -5.79% to settled at 4605 while prices down -1180 rupees, now Cotton is getting support at 31050 and below same could see a test of 30450 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 32750, a move above could see prices testing 33850.

Technical Chart

Trading Range

Cotton trading range for the day is 30450-33850

Cotton dropped as selling pressure intensified after demand from China eased.

However downside seen limited in anticipation of a possible fall in production.

China will start a new round of sales from its cotton reserves, with a total 600,000 tonnes of imported and domestic cotton to be sold off in daily auctions

COCUDAKL

Cocudakl yesterday settled up by 0.66% at 2732 due to increase in demand after Corona. Support also seen amid tight supplies owing to higher input costs with rising global demand. Cotton consumption is consistently on the rise due to increasing demand and mitigating impact of COVID-19 in India, Pakistan, Mexico and Bangladesh. Meanwhile the USDA in its latest monthly report estimated global production to go up due to better crop yields in Brazil, Australia and Pakistan. Elsewhere, it is reported that the US is looking to expand cotton exports to Bangladesh, the world’s second largest importer of cotton whereas in Pakistan, cotton arrivals to ginneries reached over 6.8 million bales, up 70% from a year earlier. The Cotton Association of India (CAI) estimated cotton output at 360.13 lakh bales for the crop year (October-September) 2021- 22, due to expectation of better yield. The total cotton production in the last season is estimated at 353 lakh bales, which is 7.13 lakh bales less than the current season, the CAI said in a statement. “The cotton yield is estimated to be excellent and the farmers are expected to go for the third and fourth pickings due to good availability of water following a good monsoon,” CAI president Atul Ganatra told PTI. In Akola spot market, Cocudakl gained by 59.9 Rupees to end at 2756.55 Rupees per 100 kgs.Technically market is under fresh buying as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 0.06% to settled at while prices up 18 rupees, now Cocudakl is getting support at 2683 and below same could see a test of 2634 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 2773, a move above could see prices testing 2814.

Technical Chart

Trading Range

Cocudakl trading range for the day is 2634-2814.

Cocudakl prices remained supported amid increase in demand after Corona.

Support also seen amid tight supplies owing to higher input costs with rising global demand

Cotton consumption is consistently on the rise due to increasing demand and mitigating impact of COVID-19 in India

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