Buy C.E. Info Systems Ltd For Target Rs.1,673 - Centrum Broking
Mapping leader navigates a growth route
MapMyIndia is the market leader in the B2B and the B2B2C mapping industry in India. Over 27 years, the company has developed a strong suite of products in the digital mapping space. Despite Google’s monopoly in the mapping space, MapMyIndia has created a sustainable niche in the Indian B2B mapping industry. The company enjoys 80%+ market share in automobile navigation systems, and is a beneficiary of an increasing number of use cases for mapping services arising from rapid smartphone and mobile internet penetration in India. The company enjoys a strong moat in the mapping industry which in turn drives higher PAT margins (43.5% in FY22). We estimate MapMyIndia's revenues/EBITDA/PAT to grow at 34%/37%/30% over FY22?25E. We value MapMyIndia at 48x FY25E EPS and arrive at a Target Price of Rs 1,673, representing a 20.3% upside and initiate with a BUY rating.
Total addressable market in India for MapMyIndia is $4.1bn, growing at 15.5% CAGR
The market for digital maps and mapping services is expected to grow at 15.5% CAGR in India from $4.1bn to $7.7bn over FY21?25E. Smartphones and internet penetration have driven a rise in new use cases spanning the automotive, enterprise & government sectors. Indian regulations also currently favour domestic geospatial players making it difficult for global players to penetrate into the market.
MapMyIndia continues to grow despite competition from Google Maps
MapMyIndia is one of the few companies which has been able to successfully compete with Google Maps in the Indian mapping space. Key reasons for this include (i) MapMyIndia’s focus on the B2B segment as compared to Google’s focus on B2C, (ii) stronger integration with automobile manufacturers, (iii) consumer companies’ reluctance to share data with Google, and (iv) the Indian government’s push towards an “Atmanirbhar Bharat.”
Market leader in automotive sector, growing rapidly in consumer space
MapMyIndia’s navigation assistance products are market leaders in the automotive sector and are used by companies like Hyundai, MG Motors, along with newer EV manufacturers such as Ola Electric. MapMyIndia has 80%+ share in the automobile navigation segment and should maintain its leadership position navigation systems become increasingly common in passenger vehicles/EVs. Consumer tech is also a rapidly growing segment as increasing mobile internet penetration has led to new use cases for mapping services. The segment grew at 48% revenue CAGR from FY19?22 and now constitutes 44% of revenues (from 20% in FY19).
Strong moat and superior profit margins ensure premium valuations to global peers
MapMyIndia has developed a sustainable moat by (i) creating a detailed mapping universe which is difficult to replicate, (ii) developing a full stack of proprietary and integrated technologies, and (iii) benefiting from government policies in the sector. This has resulted in strong revenue growth, high profit margins and premium valuations for the company. MapMyIndia’s expected revenue CAGR of 34% and PAT margin in the range of 35?40% is better than any global peer, and as a result, we value MapMyIndia at a premium 48x FY25E EPS resulting in a share price of Rs1,673. Initiate with a BUY rating.
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