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11-02-2021 09:00 AM | Source: Accord Fintech
Benchmarks likely to open in green amid positive global cues
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Indian markets closed in green to snap a three-day losing streak on Monday as broad-based gains led by financial, IT, metal and consumer goods shares pushed the headline indices higher. Today, markets are likely to start on a positive note amid positive global cues. Sentiments will get a boost as provisional data released by the government showed that India’s merchandise exports in October rose 42.33 per cent to $35.47 billion. The exports stood at $24.92 billion in October 2020 and $26.23 billion in October 2019. The merchandise imports surged 62.49 per cent to $55.37 billion from $34.07 billion in October 2020. It was $37.99 billion in October 2019. As per the data, the trade deficit in October 2021 was $19.9 billion and $98.71 billion during April-October 2021. Some support will also come as Goods and Services Tax (GST) collection remained above Rs 1 lakh crore for the fourth month in a row at over Rs 1.30 lakh crore in October, indicating the impact of festive buying. This is the second highest collection of GST since its implementation on July 1, 2017. Traders may take note of SBI Research report stating that the digitisation drive and pandemic-induced emergence of the gig economy have led to a faster formalisation of the economy, with the share of the informal sector shrinking to just 15-20 per cent in 2021 from 52.4 per cent in 2018. However, there may be some cautiousness with Centre for Monitoring of Indian Economy (CMIE) data showing that despite a 124 basis points month-on-month decline in urban joblessness rate, the country’s overall unemployment rate rose again in October, owing to a sudden 175 basis points rise in rural joblessness rate. There will be some reaction in edible oils industry stocks as amid no sign of further moderation in edible oil prices, industry body SEA said its members have decided to further reduce the wholesale prices of edible oils by Rs 3-5 per kg during this festival season to provide relief to consumers.

The US markets ended higher on Monday as Tesla shares surged and the energy sector gained while investors looked ahead to a major Federal Reserve meeting later in the week. Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Tuesday as investors awaited several key central bank meetings that could set the tone for risk appetite heading into next year.

Back home, Indian equity benchmarks made a strong comeback on Monday after three days of losses, due to strong momentum in global markets, favourable domestic economic data and good Q2 results announcement. After opening in the green, benchmark indices continued to gain momentum. Traders took encouragement as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said that retail -- covering housing and vehicles, credit cards, etc -- showed an accelerated growth rate of 12.1 per cent in September 2021 against 8.4 per cent in September 2020. Sentiments remained positive with a private survey stating that manufacturing activity in India gained steam in October as companies scaled up production in line with a substantial upturn in new work intakes. Similarly, factory output increased at a sharp pace that was the strongest since March. At 55.9 in October, vs 53.7 in September, the seasonally adjusted IHS Markit India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index was in expansion territory for the fourth month in a row in October, pointing to the strongest improvement in overall operating conditions since February. Traders remained energized after the finance ministry stating that Goods and Services Tax (GST) collection remained above Rs 1 lakh crore for the fourth month in a row at over Rs 1.30 lakh crore in October, indicating the impact of festive buying. This is the second highest collection of GST since its implementation on July 1, 2017. The tax collections last month on goods sold and services rendered was 24 per cent higher than in October 2020. Additional support also came with data showing that the growth of eight core infrastructure industries grew by 4.4 percent in September 2021 as compared to same month last year on account of healthy performance by segments like natural gas, refinery products and cement. Though, it fell as compared to 11.5 per cent in the previous month. Meanwhile, government data showed India's federal fiscal deficit during April-September, the first half of the current fiscal year, stood at 5.27 trillion rupees ($70.4 billion) or 35% of the budgeted target for the whole year. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 831.53 points or 1.40% to 60,138.46 and the CNX Nifty was up by 258.00 points or 1.46% to 17,929.65.

 

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