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ICICI Direct

OUTLOOK

Published on 27-07-2026 10:29 am

Intraday Rational :

• Trend - Supportive efforts emerged from the lower band of the contracting triangle

• Levels – Buy around Fridays close

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ICICI Direct

OUTLOOK

Published on 27-07-2026 10:28 am

Te chnical Outlook :

• After negative opening index remained southward most part of the week as intraday pullback were short lived. Consequently, the weekly price action resulted into bear candle with lower high lower low and settled in vicinity of 52-week EMA indicating extended breather.

• The lack of follow-through strength resulted into prolongation of consolidation in 56000-58000 zone over past six weeks. Despite, geopolitical concerns, index managed to defend the 3 months rising trend line placed at 56000 mark.

• In today’s sessions, Bank Nifty is likely to witness gap up opening tracking sharp decline in crude oil prices. We expect, index to hold the key support zone of 56000-55500 and gradually head towards upper band of consolidation placed at 58500 in coming month. The key support zone of 56000-55500 is a placement of the 38.2% retracement of entire rally (49954-58706) and gaparea is placed around 55,500 levels.

• Another observation is that over last 3 weeks Index has retraced by 38.2% of earlier 3 weeks rally, indicating slower pace of retracement which would help to set stage for next leg of rally.

• PSU Bank Index has formed high wave candle and is seen taking breather above 52-week EMA, thereby reaffirming strong base at 8100 levels. Going ahead follow through strength above last weeks high would set the stage towards 9100 levels

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ICICI Direct

OUTLOOK

Published on 27-07-2026 10:28 am

Nifty Bank : 56693

Technical Outlook

Week that was :

Bank Nifty remained southward throughout the week and settled week on a negative note at 56693, down 3.1%

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ICICI Direct

OUTLOOK

Published on 27-07-2026 10:28 am

Intraday Rational :

• Trend – Supportive efforts emerged from 3 months rising trendline, indicating broader structure remains intact

• Levels – Buy around Fridays close.

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ICICI Direct

OUTLOOK

Published on 27-07-2026 10:27 am

Key Monitorable :

a) Historical data of Brent crude oil suggest that bounce after a sharp decline in amid geopolitical conflict (Iraq war 1990-91, Russia Ukraine 2022) typically cap around 40%. In the current scenario, Crude has rallied over 40% from recent low of $70 and retreated from the $100 mark.

b) Empirically, after such a pattern crude undergoes consolidation and eventually revisits the panic low in subsequent quarters. Therefore, we believe falling crude oil would be the primary catalyst to reignite momentum in equities.

c) US Federal Policy

d) Monthly Expiry

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