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Published on 17-12-2025 11:56 am

10 Year Benchmark Technical View :

The 10 year Benchmark (6.48% GS 2035) yield likely to move in the range of 6.56% to 6.58% level on Wednesday.

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Published on 17-12-2025 11:56 am

Global Debt Market:

U.S. Treasury yields fell on Tuesday as investors prepared for a batch of key economic releases, including the November nonfarm payrolls report, unemployment numbers, and October retail sales. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield declined around 1 basis point to 4.168%. The 2-year Treasury yield also fell over one basis point to 3.497%, while the 30-year Treasury bond yield slid less than a basis point to 4.846. Nonfarm payrolls for November are expected to come in at 50,000, according to economists polled by Reuters, a sharp fall from the 119,000 reported in October. “Significant uncertainties remain around the U.S. policy rate, from a potentially lagged tariff passthrough to inflation to a possible uptick in unemployment and the choice of the next Fed chair,” Eastspring Investments wrote in a daily note. November’s unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.4%, according to Reuters’ poll. Retail sales for October are forecast to come in at 0.1%, compared to 0.2% in September. Another key event this week is the release of the November Consumer Price Index report on Thursday, which is expected to show that overall inflation rose to 3.1% year-over-year. Additionally, Thursday will bring weekly jobless claims data.

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Published on 17-12-2025 11:55 am

Government Security Market:

* The Inter-bank call money rate traded in the range of 4.50%- 5.70% on Tuesday ended at 5.45%.

* The 10 year benchmark (6.48% GS 2035) closed at 6.5745% on Tuesday 6.5931% on Monday .

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Published on 17-12-2025 11:55 am

Global News

* U.S. growth momentum weakens as December PMI slips to six-month low amid soft demand and rising costs: U.S. business activity lost momentum in December, marking its slowest growth since June as weakening demand hit both manufacturing and services. S&P Global’s flash Composite PMI fell to 53.0 from 54.2 in November, with new orders recording the weakest increase in 20 months and goods orders declining for the first time in a year. Services activity, which dominates the U.S. economy, slipped to a six-month low of 52.9, while manufacturing eased to 51.8, also a multi-month low, with both readings undershooting expectations. S&P noted that the recent growth spurt is fading, raising the risk of further softening into 2026 amid policy uncertainty, trade disruptions, and the impact of a prolonged federal shutdown. While survey data still point to around 2.5% annualized GDP growth in Q4, momentum has slowed for a second straight month. At the same time, job growth remained subdued due to weak demand and cost pressures, even as input prices surged to a three-year high, especially in services, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s caution on further rate cuts.

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Published on 17-12-2025 11:54 am

Economic News

* Govt notifies Rs 7,280-crore scheme to manufacture rare earth magnets in Indi: India is launching a major initiative to boost its manufacturing of rare earth permanent magnets. The government has approved a Rs 7,280 crore scheme to build domestic production facilities. This move aims to reduce reliance on China for crucial components. These magnets are vital for electric vehicles, electronics, and green energy sectors.

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