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Published on 16-12-2025 11:40 am

10 Year Benchmark Technical View :

The 10 year Benchmark (6.48% GS 2035) yield likely to move in the range of 6.58% to 6.5975% level on Tuesday

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Published on 16-12-2025 11:39 am

Global Debt Market:

U.S. Treasury yields started the week lower on Monday as investors looked ahead to several economic data reports this week, which will offer insight into the state of the U.S. economy. The benchmark 10- year Treasury yield dipped over 2 basis points to 4.166%, and the two -year Treasury yield also fell less 2 basis points to 3.509%. The 30-year Treasury bond yield was lower by nearly 3 basis points to 4.829%. The highlight of the week will be the release of key inflation data on Thursday, the consumer price index report for November. It is expected to show that headline inflation increased to 3.1% on a yearly basis in November, according to FactSet consensus estimates. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is forecast to also come in at 3.1%.Weekly initial jobless claims are also due on Thursday, with November’s existing home sales data set to be released on Friday

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Published on 16-12-2025 11:39 am

Government Security Market:

* The Inter-bank call money rate traded in the range of 4.50%- 5.35% on Monday ended at 4.80%.

* The 10 year benchmark (6.48% GS 2035) closed at 6.5931% on Monday 6.5931% on Friday .

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Published on 16-12-2025 11:39 am

Global News

* BOJ Poised for Landmark Rate Hike, Signals Gradual Exit from Ultra-Easy Policy: The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75% a threedecade high marking its second hike this year and reinforcing its commitment to gradually normalise policy despite global headwinds. Persistently high inflation driven by food prices and expectations of continued strong wage growth have strengthened the BOJ’s confidence that Japan is sustaining an inflation–wage cycle. Governor Kazuo Ueda is likely to signal further rate hikes, though at a cautious, data-dependent pace, as rates move toward the estimated neutral range of 1–2.5%. Policymakers are also mindful of yen weakness, which could fuel imported inflation and strain households, prompting coordination with the government to curb excessive currency declines while balancing growth, inflation, and financial stability.

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Published on 16-12-2025 11:39 am

Economic News

* RBI data show rosy picture of poll-bound Tamil Nadu, reveal Karnataka’s gaps: Tamil Nadu is leading southern states in key people-facing metrics like jobs and tourist footfall, according to recent RBI data. The state's manufacturing-powered growth, evident in its strong export figures and GSDP growth, is outpacing Karnataka's tech-centric economy. This progress is seen as a significant boost for the ruling DMK ahead of assembly polls.

* Unemployment rate falls to 4.7% in November, lowest since April: India's unemployment rate dropped to 4.7% in November, its lowest since April, with joblessness declining in both rural and urban areas. The overall decrease was more pronounced among women, and labor force participation also reached its highest point since April, indicating strengthening labor market conditions.

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