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TRADING CALLS

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Mansukh Securities & Finance Ltd

BUY

Published on 05-10-2026 12:09 pm

VERY HIGH RISK: BUY BANK NIFTY 54400 PUT OCT ABOVE 786.75 SL BELOW 695 TGT 815-855-910. 27 OCT


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GEPL Capital

OUTLOOK

Published on 05-10-2026 10:21 am

Global News

• Dollar Near 17-Month High on Yield Support and Safe-Haven Demand: The US dollar started the week near a 17-month high, supported by elevated Treasury yields and safe-haven demand as global bond markets remained under pressure. The dollar index stood at 101.97, while the euro slipped to $1.1246, near its lowest level since May 2025, weighed down by concerns over France’s high debt levels and political uncertainty. The yen traded at 157.69 per dollar, while sterling stood at $1.3241. The US 10-year Treasury yield remained elevated at 5.262%, although below last week’s 24-year high, as rising oil prices continued to fuel inflation concerns. Meanwhile, softerthan-expected US job growth in September reduced expectations of an October Fed rate hike, with markets pricing a 78% probability of rates remaining unchanged, compared with 36% a week earlier. However, traders still expect a hike in December and further increases in 2027, although analysts believe current rate-hike expectations may be too aggressive. Overall, elevated bond yields, global debt-market stress and safe-haven flows are likely to keep the dollar supported, while higher rate volatility could continue to pressure the euro and other cyclical currencies.

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GEPL Capital

OUTLOOK

Published on 05-10-2026 10:21 am

Economic News

• RBI likely to hike repo rate by 25 bps to 5.50% in October policy: On Monday, the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee will hold important meetings. Analysts are anticipating a 25 basis points increase in the key interest rate, raising it to 5.50%. The surge in inflation is attributed to elevated crude oil costs and subpar agricultural production. Many economists advocate for a rate hike as a crucial measure to tackle ongoing inflation issues, with outcomes to be revealed on October 7.

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Tradebulls Securities (P) Ltd

OUTLOOK

Published on 05-10-2026 10:15 am

Nifty

Nifty enters the coming week at a critical technical juncture after extending its losing streak to eight consecutive weeks but somehow managed to hold above its 200-week EMA. However, the emergence of a Bullish Spike candlestick formation on the daily chart, accompanied by a progressing Price-RSI positive divergence, indicates that selling momentum may be approaching exhaustion and leaves room for a technical pullback. The key support zone remains 22400–22000. On the weekly timeframe, a Bearish Belt Hold continues to define resistance around 22800, while the weekly ADX approaching its 25 threshold warrants caution, as strengthening trend intensity could restrict the sustainability of any rebound. Hence, 22600 remains the immediate reclaim level, followed by 22800; a sustained move above 22800 would improve the recovery prospects going forward. Conversely, a decisive break below 22300 could accelerate the decline towards 22000 or even lower levels. With crude prices, global yields and the RBI policy decision likely to influence sentiment, volatility may remain elevated. Traders should avoid aggressive shorts at oversold levels, but treat any rebound as a counter-trend move until 22800 is decisively reclaimed. Stock-specific opportunities with strict risk management remain preferable.

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Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd

OUTLOOK

Published on 05-10-2026 10:08 am

Smallcap250 Index Technical Outlook

Index is hovering near its 100 DEMA.

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