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Published on 21/04/2020 8:56:22 AM | Source: LKP Securities

Markets To Get Pessimistics Start On Tuesday - LKP Securities

Posted in Top Stories| #Market Outlook #LKP Securities Ltd

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Indian markets ended choppy trading session flat on Monday as market attention shifted to the quarterly earnings season. Today, the markets are likely to get negative start following weak global cues as a historic plunge in oil prices raised concerns about how deep the economic slowdown will be this quarter. Rising coronavirus cases in India is likely to keep investors’ sentiment in check. The country has currently 17,656 confirmed cases including 14,255 active cases and 2,841 cured/discharged cases and 559 deaths. There will be some cautiousness as a survey by industry body FICCI revealed sharpest moderation in the confidence level of India Inc since the global financial crisis of 2008-09 as the coronavirus outbreak has adversely affected their businesses. It said the Overall Business Confidence Index stood at 42.9 in the current round vis-a-vis an index value of 59.0 reported in the last survey. Traders will be concerned with report that investments through participatory notes (P-notes) in the domestic capital market plunged to an over 15-year low of Rs 48,006 crore at the end of March amid high volatility in broader markets on concerns over coronavirus-triggered recession. Though, some encouragement may come later in the day as Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman asked the New Development Bank (NDB) to enhance emergency facility to $10 billion to deal with the challenges posed by the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, capital market regulator SEBI said that stricter surveillance measures to tackle market volatility amid coronavirus pandemic will continue till May 28. Housing finance companies stocks will be in focus with ICRA’s report that housing finance companies are likely to see a slower credit growth of 9-12% in the current financial year as their disbursement may be impacted by the COVID-19 related disruptions. There will be some important result announcements to keep the markets in action.

The US markets ended lower on Monday as traders cashed in on last week's gains amid lingering concerns about the economic impact of the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. Asian markets are trading in red on Tuesday amid collapse in oil demand as the coronavirus pandemic derails the global economy.

Back home, in highly volatile session, Indian equity benchmarks traded between green and red terrain for the most part of the day and ended flat on Monday, as market participants were concerned that the sharp rise of coronavirus cases, weigh the economy. Markets opened on a positive note in morning session but soon lost the momentum as Fitch Solutions cut India's economic growth forecast for the financial year 2020-21 to 1.8 per cent saying private consumption is likely to contract due to large-scale loss of income in the face of worsening domestic outbreak of COVID-19.  Some concern also came with Moody's Investors Service in its latest report stating that the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) a slew of liquidity-boosting measures for the non-banking financial company (NBFC) sector are unlikely to boost the credit flow to the broader economy as NBFCs would shore up their own liquidity rather than on-lending to customers. However, key indices regained some momentum on positive side in late afternoon session, taking support from report that to curb opportunistic takeovers or acquisitions of Indian companies due to the current COVID-19 pandemic, the government has amended the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) policy 2017. According to new revised policy, an entity of a country, which shares land border with India or where the beneficial owner of an investment into India is situated in or is a citizen of any such country, can invest only under the government route.  But, markets failed to maintain gains and ended flat, as a survey by industry body FICCI has revealed sharpest moderation in the confidence level of India Inc since the global financial crisis of 2008-09 as the coronavirus outbreak has adversely affected their businesses. The industry chamber said that as per its Business Confidence Survey, timely action by the government will enable quicker return to normalcy for the domestic economy. It also demanded a further 100 basis points reduction in the repo rate by the RBI. Finally, the BSE Sensex gained 59.28 points or 0.19% to 31,648.00, while the CNX Nifty was down by 0.20 points or 0.04% to 9,266.55.

 

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