Opening Bell : Markets likely to make flat to negative start amid weak global cues

Indian equity markets are likely to make flat to negative start on Tuesday amid weak global cues. Traders are likely to remain cautious ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. However, foreign fund inflows from Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) could lend some support the markets.
Some of the key factors to be watched:
Unemployment rate dips to 5.2% in July: The government data showed that the rate of unemployment in the country declined to 5.2 per cent in July from 5.6 per cent in June.
Commerce & Industry Ministry mulling further FDI regime easing, more tax benefits for startups: The commerce and industry ministry is reportedly working on a 100-day reforms agenda which may include proposals such as further liberalising FDI regime, easing investments from neighbouring countries, and more tax benefits for start-ups.
India, China relations must be guided by mutuals: External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar has conveyed to his visiting Chinese counterpart Wang Yi that the India-China relations must be guided by mutual respect, mutual sensitivity and mutual interest.
Foreign Secretary wraps up two-day visit to Nepal: Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri has wrapped up his two-day visit to Nepal during which he met the country's top leadership and discussed progress in different areas of bilateral cooperation.
Sebi mulls relaxing minimum public offer size for large companies: Capital markets regulator Sebi has proposed relaxing the minimum public offer requirements for very large companies, while also extending the timelines for them to meet minimum public shareholding norms.
On the global front: The U.S. markets ended mostly in red on Monday, as investors awaited key speeches from Federal Reserve officials and U.S. retail earnings for signals on the path of interest rates. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Tuesday tracking weak cues from Wall Street overnight.
Back home, Indian equity benchmarks staged a strong rally and ended the day with strong gains on Monday on heavy buying in auto and consumer durables stocks, buoyed by plans for big bang reforms in the GST regime by Diwali. Global rating agency S&P upgrading India's sovereign credit rating also boosted the sentiment. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 676.09 points or 0.84% to 81,273.75 and the CNX Nifty was up by 245.65 points or 1.00% to 24,876.95.
Some of the important factors in trade:
India Exim Bank forecasts merchandise exports to reach $108.1 billion in Q2 FY26: Export-Import Bank of India (India Exim Bank) forecasts total merchandise exports to amount to $108.1 billion, a growth of 4.5 per cent, while non-oil exports are forecast to amount $92.1 billion, with a growth of 5.2 per cent, during July-September of FY26 (Q2 of FY26).
India's merchandise exports rise 7.29% in July: The commerce ministry in its latest data has showed that India's merchandise exports rebounded by 7.29 per cent to $37.24 billion in July 2025 as compared to $34.71 billion in July 2024. Imports increased by 8.6 per cent year-on-year to $64.59 billion in July 2025 as compared to $ 59.48 billion in July 2024.
Forex reserves surge $4.74 billion to $693.62 billion: Some support also came as RBI’s data showed that India's forex reserves surged by $4.74 billion to $693.62 billion for the week ended August 8, 2025.
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