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28-09-2023 08:52 AM | Source: Accord Fintech
Opening Bell : Markets likely to make flat-to-negative start amid lack of directional cues

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Indian markets in yet another volatile session ended on a positive note on Wednesday led by PSU Bank, Capital Goods and Healthcare stocks. Today, markets are likely to make flat-to-negative start amid lack of directional cues from overseas peers. Trading likely to be volatile in day’s session amid the fresh spike in Brent Crude to above $95 per barrel, spurt in 10-year US bond yield and the monthly futures & options expiry later in the day. Persistent foreign fund outflows likely to dent sentiments. Provisional data from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) showed that foreign institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth Rs 354.35 crore on September 27. There will be some cautiousness with a private report that investment in Indian startups dropped to a five-year low in the third quarter of calendar year 2023, with funding declining by 54 per cent year-on-year to $1.5 billion. The funding also fell 29 per cent quarter-on-quarter. Investors may also react to reports that market regulator SEBI is considering the possibility of extending trading hours for the cash market to align with global markets and accommodate market-moving news. Traders may take note of report that NITI Aayog member Arvind Virmani has made a case for simplification of the whole system of business taxation as has been done in case of personal tax, saying faceless assessment may not work in all the cases. Meanwhile, markets regulator Sebi has extended the deadline for mutual fund account holders till January 1, to nominate a beneficiary or opt out of it by submitting a declaration form, failing which their folios will be frozen. Telecom stocks will be in focus as Trai data showed that Reliance Jio, a unit of Reliance Industries, gained 39.1 lakh users in July; Bharti Airtel added 15.2 lakh new users, while Vodafone Idea lost 13.2 lakh users. There will be some reaction in edible oil industry stocks with a private report that India's vegetable oil imports are likely to drop 6% in the new marketing year beginning November, due to higher carryover stocks of oilseeds from the current year.

The US markets ended mostly in green on Wednesday as investors readied for the final trading days of what’s shaping up to be a weak month and quarter. Asian markets are trading mixed on Thursday following lackluster trade on Wall Street overnight.

Back home, Indian equity benchmarks cut initial losses and ended higher on Wednesday led by buying in select blue-chip stocks. Markets opened slightly lower and witnessed a sharp correction thereafter as persistent foreign fund outflows dented market sentiments. Provisional data from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) showed that foreign institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth Rs 693.47 crore on September 26. As per a private report, FIIs have sold about $1.6 billion in Indian equities in September, the most since January 2023. The report added this trend was driven by elevated valuations in the domestic market and negative global cues.  However, key gauges recouped all of their losses in the second half of the session and traded in green as traders opted to buy beaten down but fundamentally strong stocks. Meanwhile, the central government has decided to stick to its market borrowing plan of Rs 6.55 trillion in the second half (October-March) of financial year 2023-24 (H2FY24), brushing aside pressure from tepid revenue growth and rising subsidy burden in the pre-election year. This will include the issuance of sovereign green bonds worth Rs 20,000 crore, as against the Rs 16,000 crore maiden green bonds issued in FY23. Sentiments remained positive in late afternoon deals, as the government has extended export benefits under the RoDTEP scheme for one more year till June 2024. The Scheme for Remission of Duties and Taxes on Exported Products (RoDTEP) provides for refund of taxes, duties and levies that are incurred by exporters in the process of manufacturing and distribution of goods and are not being reimbursed under any other mechanism at the centre, state or local level. Adding to the optimism, the various Ministries/ Departments of Government of India have accepted more than 10,000 claims of the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) under Vivad se Vishwas - I scheme aimed at providing relief to MSMEs for the COVID-19 Pandemic period. This has led to grant of more than Rs 256 crore to MSMEs and increased flow of bank credit through freeing up of guarantees. Traders took note of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s statement that their aim is to make India a global growth engine and that the country will soon emerge as an economic powerhouse of the world. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 173.22 points or 0.26% to 66,118.69 and the CNX Nifty up by 51.75 points or 0.26% to 19,716.45.


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