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2026-07-22 10:06:41 am | Source: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd Ltd
Neutral Trident for the Target Rs 28 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd
Neutral Trident for the Target Rs 28 by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd

Revenue up 4.7% YoY; margins improve with better spreads

Trident’s (TRID) revenue grew 4.7% YoY to INR17.9b in 1QFY27. The home textile portfolio had muted growth in both the towels and bedsheet segments. The yarn and paper segments grew 6% and 14%, respectively. Gross margin contracted 60bp YoY to 50.6% for 1QFY27, while EBITDA margin settled at 17.3% (30bp YoY). We expect TRID’s revenue growth to continue at ~11%, led by the home textile portfolio driven by:

1) improving utilization levels

2) recovery in home textile realizations

3) growth into premium categories, followed by the yarn and paper segments. We expect margins to improve gradually toward 14-15%, aided by operating leverage and vertical integration benefits. The board has declared an interim dividend of INR0.5 per share.

Paper and yarn segments drive revenue

TRID’s revenue grew 4.7% YoY to INR17.9b in 1QFY27. The home textile portfolio (43% of sales) saw muted growth in both its categories. Bath linen, accounting for 29% of the portfolio, delivered flat growth, while bed linen, accounting for 14% of the portfolio, declined 2% YoY. Yarn (44% of sales) delivered a 6% YoY growth, while the paper segment (14% of sales) delivered a 14% YoY growth. We expect the home textile portfolio to deliver a 16% CAGR over FY26-28, driven by higher demand due to lower tariffs, improving realizations, and premiumization with a focus on categories such as fashion towels, fashion bedding, and top-of-bed categories. Yarn sales are expected to deliver a 6% CAGR over FY26-28, while the paper segment is likely to deliver a 7% CAGR over FY26-28.

EBITDA margin improves due to better cotton yarn spread

In 1QFY27, gross margin contracted 60bp to 50.6%. EBITDA grew 7% to INR3b, with EBITDA margin at 17.3% (+30bp YoY), despite an increase in employee expenses (4.7% YoY). APAT grew 21.7% to INR1.6b. Paper delivered the highest EBIT margins at ~17.6%, while in the home textile portfolio, bed and bath EBIT margins stood at ~16.3% and ~5.3%, respectively. Yarn delivered robust EBIT margins at ~15.3%, driven by better cotton yarn spreads. We expect EBITDA margins to gradually improve to 14-15%, led by operating leverage and vertical integration benefits.

Valuation and view: Reiterate Neutral

TRID’s home textile portfolio, comprising bath & bed linen, delivered a lowsingle-digit decline over FY22-26, while yarn and paper segment sales remained flat over FY22-26. We expect the home textile portfolio to clock a 16% CAGR over FY26-28, driven by lower tariffs, while yarn and paper are likely to post a 6% and 2% CAGR, respectively, over the same period. We model a revenue, EBITDA, and PAT CAGR of 11%, 17%, and 29%, respectively, over FY26-28, fueled by growth in the home textile business, followed by the yarn and paper portfolios. We reiterate our Neutral rating with a TP of INR28 (valuing the stock at 12x FY28E EV/EBITDA). Key risks: raw material price volatility, tariffs in the US markets, and slowdown in export markets (refer to our IC note dated Jun’26)

 

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